The Packers Offense Runs Through the Tight Ends

Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft could become the offense’s most valuable assets.

Long have we waited, for the Green Bay Packers to have a game-changing tight end. We’ve had to sit back and watch Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, or George Kittle carve their way through defenses with their size and physicality. We'd sit and watch them barreling through would-be tackles and hurdling or stiff-arming defenders. While all the while we can only wish to one day have that ourselves. Well, on April 28, 2023, those wishes may have been granted. With the 42nd overall pick in the 2nd round of the NFL draft, the Packers selected tight end, Luke Musgrave. And then, 36 picks later, they doubled down on their tight end selection by picking another one in Tucker Kraft. It was obvious that tight end would become a position of emphasis in the Packers' offense moving forward.

Alright, let’s look to 2024. First off, let’s put those tight-end receiving stats aside. Who was the most impactful player on the Packers’ offense this past season? Aaron Jones. Guess who will probably still be the top weapon this coming season? Aaron Jones. And how do you ensure a good running back has his way with a defense? You plow that road ahead of them. Both Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft showed a great ability to be a nuisance as run blockers. Three weeks ago I was sitting in the south endzone as the Packers were taking on the Bears in the regular season finale. There was a 15-yard Aaron Jones run from midfield that caught my eye. Tucker Kraft was lined up to the right, and when the ball was snapped, he pulled to the left. The Chicago outside linebacker came around the line very tight, and Kraft was right there to get outside of the defender and push him inside allowing Aaron Jones to loop right around them and break a 15-yard gain. When Marcedes Lewis departed in the '23 off-season, many worried we'd take a step back in tight end blocking ability. Well, Brian Gutekunst knew what he was doing grabbing two well-rounded replacements in the draft. Aaron Jones is likely a lock to be a backfield ball carrier in 2024, after him, we're not sure who will top off the Packers' running backs room. But whoever it ends up being, will have two great blocking tight ends to help pave the way.

So, we've got the running game set, how do we improve the passing game?

Alright, a quick disclaimer: I loved number 12. While Brett Favre was the quarterback of my childhood, Aaron Rodgers took over when I turned 21 years old and became the quarterback of my "young adulthood." Whenever A-Rodge returns to Lambeau to have his name and number placed on the facade, I'll be screaming my lungs out in support and triumph.  But I can admit, the four-time MVP got picky in his later years wearing a Packers uniform. Spreading the ball around wasn't exactly an emphasis of his later years. Rodgers tended to focus on those he knew and trusted rather than give the new faces a chance. Jordan Love was almost the exact opposite in his first season as the starter seeming to not care at all if you'd been around two years or two games. He'd still throw you the ball and give you a shot to make a play. So, when it comes to these young tight ends, more opportunities could be coming. 

So how would I do it?

Both tight ends showed an ability to make plays between the hash marks and along the sidelines. But with receivers that can stretch the field on the outside and leave the middle of the field fairly open, I could see Musgrave and Kraft seeing a larger workload between the hashes. It's time to bait defenders on the outside and deep while leaving the 10-15+ yard passes inside wide open for the taking. The Packers have field stretchers in Watson, Doubs, Reed, and Wicks. Even Bo Melton could gain some respect next year from defenses to help stretch the field a bit. This could leave these big-bodied and quick tight ends matched up with smaller or slower defenders in the middle of the field. 

Honestly, I wouldn't mind seeing a two-receiver, two-tight-end set with receivers on the outside and Musgrave and Kraft lined up in the slots. Either they'll match up against a smaller-bodied DB and use their physical traits to outmatch them, or they'll draw a slower outside linebacker and run right passed them for a catch. Luke Musgrave's first career touchdown came off a double-fake to the running backs on a screen or swing pass. The outside threat caused the Rams' defenders to bite leaving Musgrave wide-open in the middle of the field to just waltz right in. This could be the future of the Packers offense. Pick your poison. Either stop the receivers on the outside, stop the running backs, or stop the tight ends up the middle. It's their choice, but hopefully, that choice becomes too overwhelming and the Packers take advantage. 

The success of the Packers' offense in 2024, and even in years to come, could rest on the shoulders of Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft. I think both young tight ends are ready, and I believe they will find success for many years to come. Go Pack Go. 

 

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Greg Meinholz is a lifelong devoted Packer fan. A contributor to CheeseheadTV as well as PackersTalk. Follow him on Twitter @gmeinholz for Packers commentary, random humor, beer endorsements, and occasional Star Wars and Marvel ramblings.

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11 points
 

Comments (23)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Leatherhead's picture

January 31, 2024 at 12:47 pm

Musgrave, Kraft, Deguara, and Sims were targeted 100 times last year as a group. Over 17 games, that means the TEs got targeted about 5 or 6 times a game.

The previous year, Tonyan, Lewis, Deguara, and Tyrone Davis combined for 95 targets. A complete overhaul of the personnel, but still the same percentage of plays being drawn up for them.

Every target of the TE is a target that doesn't go to Doubs, Reed, Wicks, or Watson, all of whom received more targets than any TE last year. It's fewer touches for the RB.

Nothing against Musgrave or Kraft, but I'd prefer to see the ball going to these other people more than the TE. I suspect that our 2024 offense will continue to get the ball to the RB about half the time, via pass, pitch, or handoff. The other 30-35 plays will have the ball going mostly to WRs, and the TE will get about 6 opportunities. Now, they may be big opportunities, near the endzone or converting 3rd downs, but we're not going to take the ball out of the hands of the other people to throw it to them.

-2 points
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ChrisD's picture

January 31, 2024 at 01:23 pm

Who cares who scores or who gets a first down? TE, RB or WR? Clearly, as we’ve seen from this team in 2023, it’s not gonna affect the locker room. They don’t care! Why should we? Everyone in these three position groups has proved that they can catch the ball and, if they’re on their feet, get YAC. And the double fake completion to Musgrave worked because he sold it as a blocker. There’s too much potential for disguising looks when the TE’s are used to not take advantage of it.

8 points
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WestCoastPackerBacker's picture

January 31, 2024 at 01:38 pm

Won't it simply depend on who the defenses try to stop? GB hasn't had this kind of TE talent in some time; briefly with Jared Cook. Graham and Lewis were well past their receiving prime, and Tonyan was an UDFA that briefly flashed. Richard Rodgers was slow as molasses but actually pretty productive for GB.

So next year, with another year of experience and skill that outshine the likes of Tyler Davis, Josiah Deguara, Tonyan and an older Lewis, GB has the chance to utilize the TE more.

But this will depend on what a given defense wants to try to take away.

3 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

January 31, 2024 at 02:20 pm

This makes a lot of sense. Who cares if Musgrave develops into a Kelce or Kraft into a Little, the Packers should limit their touches!

3 points
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13TimeChamps's picture

January 31, 2024 at 02:48 pm

Why would how many targets last year's older, slower, less talented TE's have anything to do with how many targets this year's younger, faster, much more talented TE's get.?

If Doubs, Reed, Wicks, or Watson are upset that the TE's are getting more than 6 targets a game...which I highly doubt...and the offense is humming as a result, then they need to learn the concept of succeeding as a TEAM without worrying about individual stats. Again, I don't think that's the case.

I'm pretty sure MLF and Love won't be too concerned about how many targets the TE's get based on what some CHTV poster thinks is appropriate. We've got 2 really exciting prospects in Musgrave and Kraft. Who cares if they carry a TE or WR designation. If they're open, get them the ball.

3 points
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golfpacker1's picture

January 31, 2024 at 01:05 pm

Before last years draft, since we had no actual TE group on this team, TE was the one thing that would improve our team the most. We really scored with Musgrave, Kraft, and Sims as rookies, and the TE room is now a strength. I think this group could contribute 120 to 140 catches next year.

Now we need to rebuild the Safety group through the draft and add a really good tackling FA Safety so they become a strength too. Not much else needed other than strengthening the interior O-line, and adding new ILB, Edge, and a reliable CB.

Kicker is a subject for the summer, but at least we added competition who actually was a good college kicker.

7 points
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Leatherhead's picture

January 31, 2024 at 04:45 pm

140 catches is going to mean nearly 200 targets, spread out over 17 games is going to mean 12 targets a game....twice as many as they currently get. Whose targets/touches should we cut back? Jones? Doubs? Reed? Who?

-1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

January 31, 2024 at 01:20 pm

Leatherhead, how about we solve that not enough touches problem by keeping the offense on the field longer with more possessions leading to more opportunities for everyone we are talking about. We have enough weapons for Love, if Jones is back, but the defense needs to get off the field more on 3rd down. I saw a stat of 41% for opposing teams converting on 3rd down to keep drives going and what could be a pretty potent offense off the field.

8 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

January 31, 2024 at 02:32 pm

the way you score doesn't matter. if you can bang it in on 50% of your possessions you're scoring at least 28 per game. whether that's fast or slow doesn't matter, as long as you're scoring.

at last check, those third down stats imply that you're getting off the field 60% of the time.
50>40...

0 points
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Leatherhead's picture

January 31, 2024 at 04:42 pm

Ouch. Math.

We were 41.1% on defending 3rd down conversions, and that was one spot behind.........SF. We were Top 10 in redzone defense. Oh, and we're winning TOP most games.

Again, with the defense exactly the way it was, the same coaches, the same injuries......a slightly improved offense makes us a 12-5 team and maybe even beats SF.

1 points
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jont's picture

February 01, 2024 at 12:45 pm

"...with the defense exactly the way it was, the same coaches, the same injuries......a slightly improved offense makes us a 12-5 team and maybe even beats SF."

This is correct. Through the first half of the season the offense was averaging 15-16 first downs per game vs their five year average of 22 or so. Clearly, a few conversions give the offense more opportunities, keep the D off the field resting, and shift field position. I'm too lazy to count the first downs for the second half of the season, but we all know the O improved and the results followed.

0 points
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Leatherhead's picture

January 31, 2024 at 04:36 pm

If we have more possessions, our opponents will also have more possessions.
And we run 60-65 plays a game, on average. By design, about half of our plays are designed for the RB to get the ball. That leaves about 30-35 opportunities for everybody else. Doubs, Reed, and Wicks all got more targets than the TEs.

I don't think that suddenly we're going to decide that these guys need fewer opportunities so that we can give a couple of 2nd year TEs....one who couldn't stay healthy for the year....more opportunities.

In this LaFleur offense, the TE is a blocker on most plays. That's not going to change very much.

0 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

January 31, 2024 at 04:49 pm

There is often a disconnect on fan boards between what is, and what is perceived. I perceive we are a poor tackling team, bottom of the league. I perceive that throwing to tight ends is more efficient than throwing to wideouts, I perceive that we run 100 plays a game.

It's a bitch when the evidence of one's eyes confronts the desires of the heart. Like the sands of the hourglass, so are the days of our lives.

-1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

February 01, 2024 at 09:41 am

If we have more possessions and chances to score, that takes more time off the clock which leads to fewer possessions for the opposing team.

0 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

February 01, 2024 at 10:19 am

Possessions alternate in the NFL. You have more possessions/they have more possessions.

0 points
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golfpacker1's picture

February 01, 2024 at 07:21 pm

Do you know they have clocks too? And footballs. And helmets.

0 points
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BAMABADGER's picture

January 31, 2024 at 05:09 pm

During the 2022 regular season, 4 TEs accounted for 676 total receiving yards and 4 TD. All 4 were veterans.
During the 2023 regular season, 4 TEs accounted for 794 total receiving yards and 4 TD. 3 of the 4 were rookies.

The future at the TE position looks bright.

GPG!

3 points
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Leatherhead's picture

February 01, 2024 at 10:09 am

That extra six yards per game is impressive.

-1 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

February 01, 2024 at 10:20 am

Baby steps

0 points
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jont's picture

February 01, 2024 at 12:52 pm

I share your optimism, Bama, but the Kittles and Kelces of the NFL are way over that. There are seven TEs with over 800 yards by themselves.

If I were a betting man, I might wager that Musgrave could reach that number next year. Maybe.

0 points
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13TimeChamps's picture

February 01, 2024 at 03:35 pm

The 2022 group had hit their ceiling and were on their way out. No upside.

The 2023 group is just getting started and the upside is off the charts.

Why someone can't grasp that is hard to fathom. Or maybe they just like to be right and love to argue.

It doesn't really matter. This TE group is going to really good for a long time.

2 points
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Guam's picture

February 01, 2024 at 08:30 am

I suspect Deguara is done in Green Bay and if he is not resigned, that could open up some H-back snaps for Kraft. I think Kraft is both fast enough and a good enough blocker to play H-Back when needed. Note that I am not saying Kraft should exclusively be an H-back - this would just be a way to get more snaps for both Kraft and Musgrave, two talented guys who should be on the field as often as possible.

0 points
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LaFlukeMustGo's picture

February 01, 2024 at 02:31 pm

What is it with these tights ends trying to vault over the defender? Colt Lyerla anyone? Never made it to the first pre-season cut.

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