Should the Packers Trade Down?

In this draft value is in second round.

There are 32 players selected in the first round of an NFL draft.  That does not necessarily mean all 32 have a true first round grade.  Actually, it is rare for any draft to have that many top graded prospects.  A widely accepted definition of a first round talent is a player who is good enough to be taken in the first round in any year. 

Most drafts have around 25 players at most who are genuine first rounders.  According to several media gurus who study the draft, this year is a bit leaner than that.  Matt Miller, who is the draft expert for ESPN, has graded just sixteen players as first round worthy.  Curt Popejoy, who works for The Draft Wire, has given top grades to twenty players.  He writes that there will not be much difference in quality between picks 25 and 50.  

In fact, the general consensus of draft gurus I have researched is that the real strength is in the second round. This is a year of only a select group of elite prospects, but a wealth of guys that are pretty good to very good. 

The Packers own the 25th slot in the first round.  If general manager Brian Gutekunst’s draft board agrees with those overall assessments, he may choose to move out of the round to pick up extra day two picks.  The free agent signings of Xavier McKinney and Josh Jacobs have softened two of the team’s most urgent needs.  They figure to add at linebacker, tackle, and defensive back.  An extra second and fourth rounder, for example, would give them more shots at landing a quality talent at those positions. 

The top eight picks in the second round of the coming draft are all owned by teams in some sort of rebuilding stage.  They are, in order, Carolina, New England, Arizona, Washington, LA Chargers, Tennessee, then Carolina and Washington again.  You can certainly anticipate the possibility some of those clubs would have a desire to move back into the late part of round one to nab a prospect they are targeting.  If the Packers were to trade down into one of those slots, and maybe get another fourth in return, it would give them seven selections in the top 125, including three in that lucrative second round.  That might be too tempting to pass up. 

 If Gutekunst did decide to pull the trigger on trading down, he would be in rare territory.  Throughout recent history, the Packers have not been the kind of franchise that trades down completely out of the first round.  In fact, in the 63 drafts that have taken place since 1960, the team has done so only twice.  Both were engineered by former general manager Ted Thompson.  In 2008 Thompson traded Green Bay’s first round pick to the Jets for an extra second round pick and a fourth rounder.  The Pack wound up with three second round selections that year.  Thompson used them to select receiver Jordy Nelson, quarterback Brian Brohm and defensive back Pat Lee.  Nelson went on to be one of the best pass catchers in the league, but Brohm and Lee never panned out. 

In 2017 Green Bay traded a first rounder to the Browns for their second and fourth round picks.   The second round selections were defensive backs Kevin King and Josh Jones.  King could never stay healthy and Jones was a bust. 

There were two other years when the Pack had no first round pick, but that was because they traded it for a player.  In 1986 they dealt their first and fifth rounders to the Chargers for defensive back Mossy Cade.  They went without a first rounder in 1975 because of the infamous trade Dan Devine made out of desperation in 1974.  In a futile effort to save his job, Devine traded Green Bay’s first, second and third round picks in 1975, plus the first and second round picks in 1976, to the Rams for washed up quarterback John Hadl.  It still ranks as one of the worst trades in NFL history.  After the season Devine left to become the head coach at Notre Dame before the team could fire him. 

Of course, there are no guarantees that extra second round picks will yield quality players.  The Packers have had a mixed bag in round two since the turn of the millenium.  They hit big on Chad Clifton, Nick Collins, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams and Elgton Jenkins.  They got solid contributors in Eddie Lacy, Brandon Jackson, Daryn Colledge, AJ Dillon and Josh Myers.  And they flopped with picks such as Mike Neal, Jerel Worthy, Quinten Rollins, Jason Spriggs, Josh Jackson, and the aforementioned Brian Brohm.  It’s too early to judge Christian Watson, Luke Musgrave and Jayden Reed, but they certainly show the potential to be star players. 

When it comes to the NFL draft, more is usually better.  This may be one of those rare years the Packers move down and play the numbers game. 

 

 

 

 

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__________________________

Ken Lass is a former Green Bay television sports anchor and 43 year media veteran, a lifelong Packers fan, and a shareholder.

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4 points
 

Comments (66)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
MooPack's picture

March 22, 2024 at 12:11 pm

They don't necessarily have to trade all the way back to the 2nd. They could trade a few slots back in the 1st and gain a pick. They could potentially use that gained pick to move higher in the 2nd with one of their 2nd picks. Lots of options. Expect the unexpected with Gute.

10 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:00 pm

I agree. Gute does not even know what he is going to do until he decides to do it. Yes they do not have to trade out of the first but if they do they should get a better pick or picks. Many teams will trade more to get back in the first because then they will have another player with a fifth year option they can use.

All I ask of Gute is to maximize his picks whether it is more, less, or the same to maximize the benefit to the team.

5 points
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stockholder's picture

March 22, 2024 at 12:18 pm

I want DeJean.
Trading Back might bring me 33 and 101.
But even if your guy is in the top 50.
You Stay put.
Trading Down = Rebuilding.
Trading up = A priority
Staying put = Reloading

8 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:02 pm

I thought you wanted Wilson

3 points
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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:03 pm

And play him where? You really want to draft a guy in the first round only to play him at a different position? Didnt we learn our lesson with Demarrius Randall?

2 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:33 pm

DeJean has played in the box so it's not pure projection, he just hasn't played deep in the middle. With them resigning Nixon it's hard to say how much interest they have in taking a guy to play slot. Waiting a round or two and grabbing Jarrian Jones could make more sense as he has the athleticism to play outside in press but also has a lot of experience in the slot.

DeJean is scheduled to test on April 15th. If he can't go then he could be available at 41.

2 points
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GregC's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:32 pm

Switching from CB to safety should be easier than switching from safety to CB.

3 points
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LLCHESTY's picture

March 22, 2024 at 12:22 pm

I heard a draftnik on the radio a couple weeks ago say he talked to a scout that said his team had 18 players with 1st round grade plus the QBs. Going off of that the Packers would need a few teams to reach to get a 1st round talent.

Barton hasn't tested yet so it remains to be seen if he hits the Packer athletic thresholds but to me he's not worth a 1st round pick. His arm length is a big negative for a T and of he can't play outside do the Packers draft him in the 1st to play G or C? Doesn't seem likely.

Gutey was at Alabama's pro day where Kool Aid tested pretty well. 4.47 40 and has shown fluid hips so he probably would be fine playing press and flipping his hips to run. I could see them being interested in him at 25.

2 points
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Alberta_Packer's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:03 pm

My guess is that if Mckinstry is available at 25 - he's Gutekunst's pick - even if DeJean is available. It may be the last opportunity for the Packers to select an elite CB for several years. It's also not insignificant that Gutie was at Alabama's pro day.

1 points
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splitpea1's picture

March 22, 2024 at 12:29 pm

Doesn't it kind of depend what happens in the first round before #25? Just don't reach in the first round because of need.

Also, past performance is no guarantee of future results, especially when comes to the selections of previous regimes.

12 points
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Coldworld's picture

March 22, 2024 at 05:15 pm

Thank you. The answer is a definite maybe.

Let the draft come to us and trade according to how it does. If it makes sense to trade back, do it. I could see trading back and also back up. This doesn’t look like a trade up draft, but the right player could make it one by falling.

Any trading that gives up a pick needs to being a discernible improvement in the pick. If we trade down and it improves our ability to target later and still get a player we want now, go for it.

Overall, we need a lot of positions filled and to refill pipelines, including the PS. This year more picks is a good thing. Last year we picked 13, 12 of whom made the roster or PS and the other was beaten by a UDFA.

This year we need a similar influx, if primarily on D and the OL: potential starters and depth to develop.

4 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

March 22, 2024 at 12:50 pm

All depends on how the draft progresses, who’s available, who has GB targeted, etc. The thing I like is their slew of early picks gives them the ammo to slide around pretty much however they want.

4 points
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GregC's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:04 pm

I like having all that ammo too. I've been thinking it would probably be better to trade up than down, but Ken makes a very good case for trading down. Of course as you say, it all depends on how the draft unfolds.

0 points
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x24's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:09 pm

John Hadl! The Lawrence Welk draft "and a 1, ana 2, ana 1, 2, 3!"

7 points
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egbertsouse's picture

March 23, 2024 at 07:26 am

Wow! Someone else who remembers Lawrence Welk! A local shop had a bubble machine in front last summer and I mentioned that it was like the Lawrence Welk show outside. I just got blank looks. What show????

3 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:11 pm

I always expect the unexpected. Every draft I recall when the Packers drafted Cobb. Before the draft I liked Cobb and thought he was going to be special. I thought how I would like to see him in a Packer uniform. But we did not need a WR so I figured that would not happen. I was ecstatic when the Packers picked him.

Another player I wanted the Packers to pick was Whitney Mercilus and they did not and I had to wait 10 years to see him play for the Packers and then that was cut short. I guess there is a chance I might see Logan Wilson play for Green Bay.

0 points
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skydancer506's picture

March 22, 2024 at 02:47 pm

I would love to see Logan Wilson in the green and gold.

Of course I would also like to see Frank Crum and Xazavian Valladay in Green and Gold also. #GoPokes

0 points
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PearlyBakerBest's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:46 pm

With the most picks in the draft I don’t think there’s a chance in hell BG trades down. The success of this team goes through the OL. I expect BG to trade up and if it doesn’t happen reports will emerge that he tried.

Mark it, dude.

-2 points
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blacke00's picture

March 23, 2024 at 12:20 pm

I agree with the comment on the OL, but I'm not convinced Gute will trade up. Gute kept "Mt. Caleb" on the AR for a reason. I suspect an eventual starting or a swing tackle. If that is the case I wouldn't go fishing for a Tackle when you have other more pressing needs.
I think he'll go after a CB early or maybe trade (for that position). Pick the best available LB or Safety next. Then double up those position later.
Remember what Gute said in one of his earlier pressers about drafting a QB. I think that's in the cards on day 3.
If it were up to me. I'd offer the Jets a 6th or a 7th for Zak Wilson. The guy has talent. The problem is he was drafted by the Jets and that IMHO is the "kiss of Death".

-1 points
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Ferrari-Driver's picture

March 22, 2024 at 01:48 pm

I like Stockholders comment about wanting DeJean who seems to have plenty of talent and could fill needs at both corner back and safety. I have always been a little leary about trading back ever since we bypassed TJ watt and Devin James and wound up with Kevin King after one of those trade backs. I remember watching both of those drafts and hoping no one would pick them only to have our draft team pass them by. I realize they are the experts and are on target most of the time, but losing those two players were a real disappointment to this Monday Morning quarterback, er general manager.

7 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

March 22, 2024 at 11:04 pm

Devin James was hilarious as Paul Blart: Mall Cop, as well as in both of those Grownups movies with his buddy Adam Sandler.

2 points
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Cheezehead72's picture

March 22, 2024 at 02:11 pm

Not that I want this to happen but if the Packers decided to do a Mike Ditka they would only get to pick 4.

3 points
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PearlyBakerBest's picture

March 22, 2024 at 02:18 pm

This is going to happen. Maybe not to that degree. But if BG picks more that 8 times this draft is a failure.

-6 points
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golfpacker1's picture

March 22, 2024 at 04:21 pm

I disagree Pearly. Those 4 picks in the 6yh & 7th will allow us at worst to take extra shots @ S, CB, RB, LB, or OL. Having 11 picks is a big bonus for rolling the dice. The downside of our picks in rounds 4,5,6,7 is that they are all late in the rounds. They would just be filler in a trade, so better to hang onto them. Making more than 8 picks is hardly a failure.

2 points
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PearlyBakerBest's picture

March 22, 2024 at 08:21 pm

Agree to disagree. This draft has to be about quality and the path to the Super Bowl goes through the OL. There’s plenty of filler talent in cuts and udfas.

0 points
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golfpacker1's picture

March 23, 2024 at 09:19 am

I would guess that most teams only hit on about half of their draft picks every year. I don't know the actual percentage though. GB had an exceptional draft last year for the first time in a while.

We are not quite there talent wise yet like the Chiefs, 49ers, and Eagles to name a few. We need to take as many swings at the plate as possible to upgrade the roster and the practice squad. And for example, if we include the 4th round pick in a trade, we won't make a pick from #91 all the way to #169.

0 points
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Bisonball's picture

March 23, 2024 at 12:58 pm

Horse trainer D. Wayne Lucas prefers to fill his stable with multiple lower priced prospects, rather than blow his entire budget on a few colts with top breeding and price tags. He's done pretty well with that philosophy. There is no such thing as a sure thing.

0 points
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Johnblood27's picture

March 22, 2024 at 02:17 pm

On the subject of the true number of "first round talents" Let's recall that around 50% of the first round picks are busts.

There is no formula for success in the draft, just number of bites at the apple and positioning yourself (through trades) to bite the apple where the wormhole is NOT!

6 points
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pantz_bURp's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:14 pm

JohnB,

Please ask one of the helpful staff to look down their shirt and spell ATTIC.

Thank you in advance,

Pantz

0 points
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Johnblood27's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:52 pm

between the three of them you couldn't fill a thimble with brains...

no spelling acumen whatsoever...

1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

March 23, 2024 at 09:22 am

John I would just offer this, they don't call it "BRAINERS", its called "HOOTERS."

2 points
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Johnblood27's picture

March 23, 2024 at 01:06 pm

...and God bless each and every one of them...

0 points
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dobber's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:36 pm

"On the subject of the true number of "first round talents" Let's recall that around 50% of the first round picks are busts."

Draftniks don't decide who the first round talents are...GMs do.

1 points
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Since'61's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:54 pm

Cookie! Thanks, Since '61

0 points
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Johnblood27's picture

March 23, 2024 at 09:05 am

whoever decides, history tells us that 50% of the 32 selected in the 1st round wash out well below expectations.

3 points
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dobber's picture

March 23, 2024 at 10:06 am

A wise perspective.

0 points
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Johnblood27's picture

March 23, 2024 at 01:05 pm

I have been told that I am a real wise-guy...

Im not sure it was a compliment...

0 points
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Minniman's picture

March 22, 2024 at 02:23 pm

According to some reports, this year the new Name\Image\Likeness (NIL) college football rules have caused some underclassmen to stay in college (who would otherwise declare for the draft and be those day 3 gems),

The effect of this is, reportedly, is the weakening of the overall day 3 group.

As you can see Ken, one could easily miss the big picture by consternating on fringe variables.

The only way that I'd consider trading down over BPA is if the trade offered is far and away better than my evaluation of the player.

2 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

March 22, 2024 at 11:06 pm

I’m still hoping to land some sweet NIL money myself!

2 points
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Minniman's picture

March 23, 2024 at 01:25 am

Ha ha - classic! Well played sir! :)

1 points
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nstewart1's picture

March 22, 2024 at 02:23 pm

Assuming they like somebody, moving down out of the 1st round is not worth just a 4th round pick. I'd be more open to jumping ahead of a couple of teams for a position we really need filled.

1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

March 23, 2024 at 09:29 am

It's not set in stone that all we get back is a 4th round pick. The Watson tradeup cost us a lot more than that, and that was a 2nd round tradeup, not a first-round move. That move cost 2 2nd round picks in 2022.

I would trade down for 2 second round picks. Washington, Philly, Carolina, and the Texans have multiple 2nds this year.

There are 7 teams that have multiple 3rds too.

We could have offers to move back to the end of the first. KC and SF could really want someone bad enough. Their picks are all late in the rounds though, so that trade could involve giving back a 2nd or at least a 3rd along with their first rounders.

0 points
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HarryHodag's picture

March 22, 2024 at 02:33 pm

The Packers might want to trade down but they need a trade partner. Logically, if no one excites you at 25 then trading down is possible as long as it nets another 2 or 3. The other part of it is, is there a player at 25 that excites some other team?
One of the things about trading out of the first round contracts are for four years with an option for a fifth. If drafted in the second round the contract is different(and lower).

The risk is the player you might want might be gone but if that player is gone, trading back is a good idea.

Think of having three two's and two thirds. That means there's a good chance of filling some holes.

1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

March 22, 2024 at 04:25 pm

Hey Harry, there are a lot of players that will be available in the 2nd, 3rd, and even 4th rounds that fit what we need the most. OL, S, LB, CB, and RB. Anything extra we would score in those rounds will be very valuable to fill our needs.

0 points
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HarryHodag's picture

March 22, 2024 at 04:41 pm

That is precisely my point. A pick at 25 in the first round is not much different than pick 34 in round 2.
This draft is heavy on wide receivers and offensive linemen. While the Packers need 2-3 linemen, they don't need wide receivers. But why draft an o-tackle at 25 when an equal player is available in round 2?

1 points
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pantz_bURp's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:11 pm

Ken,

Ask Gute (or his asst Me) that very question when we (da Pack) are on the clock.

Thanks in advance,

Pantz

1 points
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Lare's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:29 pm

The Packers already have 11 picks in the draft, why trade down and get more picks? How many are going to make the final roster anyway?

3 points
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Tundraboy's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:58 pm

Exactly. This probably will be the last time we draft this high and also have a surplus of picks. It's a solid enough draft to come away with the OTs,CB,S that will make the most impact sooner than later. As the board unfolds consolidate if an opportunity arises to improve our positions. I'm confident in Gute but ready for some surprises

1 points
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BA4Pack's picture

March 22, 2024 at 04:08 pm

You can bundle your lower picks with a 2 or 3 to move back up.

2 points
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Johnblood27's picture

March 23, 2024 at 09:10 am

Bingo

Not all trade downs are to get more actual selections.

Some of the value acquired can be turned around to move up in other spots to go get the value that YOUR board indicates.

Flexibility in process = more chance of success. Just like the principle that torpedoed Joe Barry, lack of scheme flexibility to place his players in the best position to succeed. The same things apply in the draft. ...but - you gotta have a solid board... - and trust it!

2 points
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golfpacker1's picture

March 23, 2024 at 09:50 am

The Packers had to give up picks #53 & #59 in 2022 to move up to #34 so we could choose Christian Watson. It will cost way more than some 6th or 7th round picks to move up on Day 2 of draft.

The best way to pick up extra early 2nd & 3rd round picks would be a move back from #25. Or another trade I could see is moving back from #91 and gaining two 4ths, or a 4th & 5th. Either hypothetical trade wouldn't hurt us much because RBs. OL, and Safeties we like will still be on the board.

Honestly, I can really see GB having a tough, but pleasant, choice to make @ #25 because I can see multiple premium OL and DBs still on the board this year. There could easily be 6 QBs taken before #25, or if several are still available, the Packers could have to choose between taking a prospect we like or snagging some premium draft picks on Day 2.

0 points
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dobber's picture

March 23, 2024 at 10:03 am

People just don't look at the pick value boards to realize that day 3 picks just don't buy you very much on days 1 and 2.

I agree that there should be good value to be had at 25...there will probably be similar value--albeit maybe at different positions--in the low 30s. I think the "should the Packers trade back?" question can only be answered on draft day by looking at who's on the board when the time comes, what someone is paying for the pick, and what the opportunities will be at those later spots (or even if they know they can move back up and still come out ahead).

I also think the notion that making more than 8 picks is a fail, or that there's no room for more than 10 rookies on this roster, is pretty narrow.

1 points
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Bitternotsour's picture

March 23, 2024 at 10:13 am

I'll be really surprised if 5 QB's haven't been drafted by pick 12, and that if the 6th is still on the board at 25 that we aren't trading back.

It's a great time to have a franchise QB.

Would be hilarious if the Jets pick a QB with their #1.

0 points
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Turophile's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:47 pm

Of course the real answer to "should they trade down ?" is it depends on who is there at #25 and how much the Packers like one or more prospects available. In general though, I'd say 'YES'.

I've mentioned here before about the great value in this draft in round two (and also I believe, in round three). Furthermore, most of the positions the Packers need to upgrade are not premium pick positions like LT, WR, QB, CB. I mean they could use another OT or CB, but the positions of most need are ILB, S, IOL, RB, slot corner, and very good ones can be found in rounds 2-3.

If the Packers traded back into the top of round two. For example they could swap #25 and their #91 for Houston's #42 and #49 and #123 That gives the Packers FOUR picks in round 2 (41, 42, 58, 59) and they still have pick 88 in round 3 and two 4th rounders.

6 points
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golfpacker1's picture

March 22, 2024 at 04:53 pm

Thanks Turo, that's exactly what I have been preaching for 2 months now, especially to the crowd that wants to throw away our huge draft advantage by trading up and wasting picks to do it. And for what? A player with the same skills as another player we could get in rounds 2 &3.

How cool would it be to dominate the 2nd with 4 picks? They would fill every big need we have. Or we could trade one of them to the Commanders for #78 & #100. Round 4 will be big for Safeties and RBs so #123 would be important too.

The Texans scenario is one I have looked at too.
Other trade partners:
Carolina has #33 & 39 in the 2nd, and the first pick in rounds 3 and 4, and 2 later 5ths

Eagles have #50 & 59 in the 2nd round

Wash have #36 & 40 in the 2nd, 67, 78, and 100 in the 3rd round

Cardinals have #35 in the 2nd, and #66, 71, and 90 in the 3rd

Falcons have #43 in 2nd and # 74, 79 in the 3rd

The Cards, Falcons, Bengals, Rams, Bucs, Steelers, amd Wash all have multiple 3rd rounders.

I could also see trading back from #91 as there are 7 teams with multiple 4th round picks. We don't have to trade out of the first either, The Chiefs could move up if a top WR falls to #25. The 49ers could move up to # 25, they have 3 4th rounders to trade. Those 2 teams have the luxury of few needs and they usually get what they want.

It all depends on finding a trade partner to move back, but multiple players at positions of need might be staring GB in the face @ #25

1 points
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Since'61's picture

March 22, 2024 at 03:59 pm

Depending on what happens prior to the Packers turn to select at #25 I would say yes to a trade down assuming the Packers find a willing trade partner. There is no guarantee that it will happen even if Gute wants to trade down. I would prefer to get more value in the 2nd round then take a reach in the 1st.

Bottom line trade down if the value is not there at the 25th pick. Thanks, Since '61

3 points
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MooPack's picture

March 22, 2024 at 04:12 pm

"even if cute wants to trade down"

I never thought of him as cute, but to each his own. lol.

0 points
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Dooniebrewers's picture

March 22, 2024 at 08:15 pm

No. In this shallow draft trade all those late picks for whatever you can get.

-6 points
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ShooterMcGee's picture

March 23, 2024 at 03:29 am

I was just thinking about Gutey's track record of trading up vs trading down. He traded up for Darnell Savage, Oren Burks, and Amari Rodgers, all of whom were busts. He also traded up for Jaire but only after trading down first and receiving a 1st from the Saints. I can only recall that in this past draft he traded down twice which netted us a huge haul of Jaden Reed, D. Wicks, and Karl Brooks.
Although a small sample size trading back has worked out much better than trading up. I am also hoping that he trades some later round picks for 2025 draft capitol since we won't be getting comp picks plus the draft will be in Green Bay. I want the chance to cheer as much as possible our picks in person.

2 points
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Spock's picture

March 23, 2024 at 09:55 am

Uh, he also traded UP for Jordan Love. I'd say that trade up looks good so far!

1 points
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WD's picture

March 23, 2024 at 06:38 am

Obviously the correct answer is it depends on what is there at 25. We do have 5 picks in the top 91 picks. We have the quantity. We do NOT want to sacrifice quality. If the season starts tomorrow we have a major hole at ILB. Also if a premier OT or a top 10 player suddenly falls it would be worth considering. So we have to wait and see. If by chance Cooper and Wilson are both gone at ILB It would then make sense to trade down and then address ILB with the next tier of two or three ILBs. Other than ILB we have the luxury of simply taking the best available at any position other than WR or QB for our top five picks. I am leery about trading down. Did we forget we already have a very good playoff team?

-1 points
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Boneman's picture

March 23, 2024 at 07:03 am

Fully expect Gute to go up and get whoever he's targeting such as a top three CB or OT or Edge (sorry not DeJean). If that fails I expect him to trade down and pick up some picks for next year. Don't expect us to take a RB before round 5, they just aren't that good this year. He also won't use a pick on safety until the 3rd because they aren't that good either. He'll take several swings at LB on day three but none will be the top guys we're reading about. Expect a minimum of 4 offensive lineman and possibly a surprise DT. In other words, a typical Packer draft full of surprises and frustration as we watch our favorite draft crushes slide on bye!

-2 points
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gsd3's picture

March 23, 2024 at 07:09 am

Let me apologize in advance. Long winded and yes, I do expect down votes.
Trading down depends on the board, needs, and who they think may swoop in and take someone they like. I've compiled a list of players mentioned here of big board ranking averages from 5 sites.
Cooper DeJean - range from 8 to 26 - avg DP - 19
Troy Fautaunu - 13 to 34 - avg DP - 23
Tyler Nubin - 25 to 49 - avg DP - 38
Graham Barton - 25 to 47 - avg DP - 31
Edge Cooper - 44 to 62 - avg DP - 50
Zack Fraizer - 31 to 62 - avg DP - 47
Payton Wilson - 26 to 60 - avg DP - 47
Junior Colson - 52 to 87 - avg DP - 67
Cooper Beebe - 47 to 73 - avg DP - 61
Kingsley Suamataia - 43 to 61 - avg DP - 50
Zack Zinter - 95 to 157 - avg DP - 113
Jordan Morgan - 33 to 41 - avg DP - 36
Kris Jenkins - 48 to 60 - avg DP - 54
Darius Robinson - 32 - 44 - avg DP - 39
Kool Aid McKinstry - 23 to 34 - avg DP - 27
TJ Tampa - 35 - 58 - avg DP - 48

Personally, with all the picks at Gutey's disposal, I would expect him to move all over. Up as well as back.
For the hell of it, I did 2 mock drafts at Mock draft database. No trades. See below for your amusement. Players fell differently each time.

1) #25 - J.C. Latham OT - Cooper Dejean CB/S
2) #41 - Payton Wilson LB - Jackson Powers Johnson C
2) #58 - Tyler Nubin S - Edge Cooper LB
3) #88 - Jaylen Wright RB - Javon Bullard S
3) #91 - Marshawn Kneeland DE - Javon Foster OT
4) #125 - Elijah Jones CB - Zack Zinter G
5) #169 - Tanor Bortolini G - Jarrion Jones CB
6) #202 - Gabe Hall DT - Tyrone Tracy RB
6) #219 - Garrett Greenfield OT - Kristian Boyd DT
7) #245 - Kenny Logan S - Nathaniel Watson LB
7) #255 - Dwight McGlothern CB - Josh Karty K

Sorry for the jumbled up mess,

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golfpacker1's picture

March 23, 2024 at 10:06 am

That is actually very informative gsd3. Thanks for the extra work. I think this year's draft for the Packers is unique because the position groups of players at positions we need the most fall very favorably in the range of our first 5 picks.

GB could easily stay where they are at and pick #25 Best OL, #41 Best Safety, #58 Best LB (4 of the top 5 should be available), #88 a Top 10 CB, and a TOP 5 RB @ #91. Or even with a trade back from #25 or #91 we still could cash in on those much-needed position groups and add another OL, Edge, or whatever. A crapload of upgrade/good players @ PON will be sitting there in the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th rounds. This draft is going to be a gamechanger that propels the Packers to Super Bowl contender for longer than a couple years.

GO PACK GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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golfpacker1's picture

March 23, 2024 at 10:56 am

KC had been rumored to be in love with Jordan Morgan OT and a possible trade up team to secure him. Add CB to their biggest needs after they traded L'Jarius Sneed yesterday. If a Top 5 CB falls to #25, they could be forced to give up their 1st and 2nd round picks for the honor of picking one. Let's fleece someone similar to the Saints trade.

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gsd3's picture

March 24, 2024 at 07:52 am

In keeping with the question. I did 2 mocks on PFF. One without trading at all, the other with trading if it appeared to make sense. Passed on many more offers than accepted. Both graded out as A-. For your amusement.
No trades:
25) Troy Fautauna OL
41) Zach Fraizer C
58) Junior Colson LB
88) Jaylen Wright RB
91) Cole Bishop S
126) Cooper Beebe G
169) Tyrone Tracy RB
202) Dwight McGlothern CB
219) Joshua Cephus WR
245) Dallas Gant LB
255) Kenny Logan S

Trades:
41) Zach Fraizer C
50) Tyler Nubin S
58) Kris Jenkins DT
66) Junior Colson LB
91) Brandon Dorlus DL
96) Jarrian Jones CB
126) Braelon Allen RB
128) Christian Jones OT
133) Chau Wade Smith CB
148) Javon Foster OT
169) Tyrone Tracy RB
202) Solomon Byrd Edge
219) Tanor Bortolini G
220) Tyler Owens S
223) Nataniel Watson LB
229) Joshua Karty K
2025 Draft picks - Rd 4 (2) Rd 6 (1) Rd 7 (2)

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