Packers at Lions: Gameday Preview - 2021 Week 18

The Packers have already secured the #1 seed and the Lions have already secured another year of playoffs on the couch, but that doesn't make this game meaningless.

The last time these teams met was in Week 2. The Packers were fresh off their season-opening sleepwalk against New Orleans and, after getting down early and trailing at halftime, woke up on both sides of the ball and outscored Detriot 21-0 in the 2nd half en route to a 35-17 win.

At the time, both teams were 0-1. Things are a lot different now.

The Packers have been on another late season hot streak and have won 5 in a row.

The Lions are a 2-win squad  reminiscent of pretty much every other Lions team in recent memory.

A few weeks ago, they beat the Cardinals quite convincingly, showing that they aren't completely hopeless. Since then, they've looked... well, completely hopeless in losing to the Falcons and getting whipped by the Seahawks, who put up 51 points on almost 500 yards of offense.

The Lions would love to beat their rivals (this is their Super Bowl) and end another craptastic season on a high note. But what are the Packers playing for?

There are some achievements in reach, like Davante Adams only needing 22 yards to set the single season record for Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers looking to make a final impression on the MVP voters (except for that bum, Hub Arkush, obviously.

Outside of that, these guys are playing for pride.

That could lead to a pretty wide range of outcomes.

 

WHEN THE LIONS HAVE THE BALL

Jared Goff is officially listed as "Questionable," but head coach Dan Campbell said that he would probably play.

Goff has talent, even if he's not as good as Matt Stafford. He's been establishing a strong rapport with rookie receiver Aman-Ra St.Brown, who is putting together a solid rookie season with 82 catches and 803 yards. Tight end TJ Hockenson (who is on IR) is the second leading receiver on the team with 61 catches for 583 yards. These two are tied for the team lead with 4 touchdowns.

The passing game is made up of good but not great players. Going up against a great secondary (which, unfortunately, will still be missing Jaire Alexander), I don't expect them to get much going, even in dome conditions, unless the Packers just start playing like they don't care. If the Packers are playing a lot of off coverage, Detroit could move the ball in the short passing game. This has really been the strength of their offense and also features running back D'Andre Swift.

Swift and Jamaal Williams, who both average right around 4.0 yards per carry, form a solid running back duo. Neither has been particularly explosive this year, but their are consistent.

Their offense has been pretty unimpressive all year. Outside of their 33 points in a bizarre failed comeback in week 1, they haven't gotten over 30 points in a game and have been under 18 points in 12 of their 16 games this year.

The Packers have no real excuses for letting the Lions move the ball much except for playing to avoid injury or looking ahead to the playoffs and mentally checking out.

Their defenders match up very well talent wise and scheme wide across the board.

Detroit has also struggled notably in short yardage, which should allow the Packers defense to get ball back without much trouble.

 

WHEN THE PACKERS HAVE THE BALL

The big news for the Packers is that David Bakkhtiari and Josh Myers could both come back, generating a big talent infusion into the offense line.

The Packers have been operating with pretty much backups across the board on the offensive line and faring quite well. Bringing these guys back in a game they don't need to win is a nice tryout to see if they can mesh back into the group and provide a little boost heading into the playoffs.

There is little risk to Aaron Rodgers because 1) it's the Lions, 2) he knows how to get the ball out quick if he needs to, and 3) the Lions rank 31st in the league in sacks.

Look for Rodgers to find Adams early to make sure he gets the yardage record before they eventually (hopefully) sit down.

When the Packers want to run the ball, they may give Patrick Taylor an extra long look. Aaron Jones is still nursing a sore knee and may not want to risk hurting it further while playing on turf.

If the starters sit down, this might be a great time to see what Jordan Love can really do.

In his only start of the season, the Chiefs blitzed him nonstop, making it tough to get much of a read on him. Not only would I expect the Lions to blitz much less than the Chiefs, I'd expect LaFleur to have a better package ready for Love and I'd expect Love to handle it better without 1st start jitters or any pressure to win the game at all.

 

OTHER NOTES

Matt LaFleur faces an impossible decision and he said so in his press conference this week. If he plays everyone and someone gets hurt and misses a playoff game, he's an idiot for letting them out there. If he rests guys and they don't win in the playoffs, he's an idiot for letting them get rusty.

All that really matters is how they play in the playoffs. 

As much as I want all these guys to just lay in bubble wrap for the next couple of weeks, that's not realistic or helpful. I'm glad that everyone wants to play because it shows they aren't scared or hesitant. Still, I'd be thrilled if the starters marched the field for a 7 minute touchdown drive and took the rest of the day off.

 

FINAL THOUGHTS

This Lions team is feisty and, even when they're getting blown out, they play hard for Dan Campbell.

I don't see a scenario where they get demoralized and roll over. I think the Packers will keep them at bay early, then grind them down, maybe with Jordan Love making some plays in the 2nd half. If Goff gets hot, though, they may need their starters to play later to get the win,

I'll be watching intently just hoping the Packers don't sustain any more injuries.

With anything possible in this game, I think the more talented and better-coached team gets the win.

Packers 27, Lions 16

 

 

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Bruce Irons has played, coached, and studied football for decades. Best-selling author of books such as A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Draft, A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Salary Cap, and A Fan's Guide To NFL Free Agency Hits And Misses, Bruce contributes to CheeseHeadTV and PackersForTheWin.com.

Follow Bruce Irons on Twitter at @BruceIronsNFL.

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Comments (12)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Thegreatreynoldo's picture

January 09, 2022 at 07:41 am

Here's the thing: it doesn't matter whether the Packers are up or down after 1 and a half quarters. The Chiefs and the Cowboys had at least something to play for, albeit they probably need too much help for that something to be realistic. Not so with the Packers.

Who can the Packers not afford to lose? That's an awful question and way of putting it, but here goes:

1. Preston and Gary. Watching Hamilton, Garvin and Gileai all game will be painful, but so be it.
2. Kenny Clark. I'm okay watching Lowry, Slaton, Lancaster, and Anderson all game.
3. Davante Adams.
4. DeVondre Campbell. Nothing at all behind him.
5. Jones and Dillon. The whole offense is AR to Adams/RBs.
6. Savage and Amos. No safeties of any quality behind them.
7. Um, AR.

With Bakh and Myers back, GB might be able to afford a loss on the OL.
I don't think one loss in the TE/HB/FB area would be a killer.
Outside of Adams, a loss in the #2 through #5 WR would not be a killer.
Outside of Clark, could afford a loss on the DL.

Barnes and a lot of other players would be a loss, but perhaps not a killer. ILB is so weak.

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Johnblood27's picture

January 09, 2022 at 08:10 am

you forgot to critique the corners..

here ya go...

with jaire sure to play game 1 of the playoffs a loss would not be a kill shot. If any loss(es) result in yah-dum seeing defensive snaps, that would be a HUGE killer.

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Qoojo's picture

January 09, 2022 at 10:19 am

FBI should investigate Yiadom for blackmail, as that seems like the only reasonable explanation for why he is still around.

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egbertsouse's picture

January 09, 2022 at 08:04 am

LaFlower seemed to be considering holding out some players until Coach Rodgers told the media they were all going to play. I mean, there are individual records to be broken and bonuses to be earned and , in today’s NFL, that’s the most important thing.

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Johnblood27's picture

January 09, 2022 at 08:12 am

Rodgers is NOT the Coach, get it straight and do not ever make this mistake again...

Rodgers is the ASSISTANT GENERAL MANAGER! He is above simple jobs like Coach.

Get it? Got it? Good!

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porupack's picture

January 09, 2022 at 11:57 am

Hell, I certainly negotiate and work to attain my various bonuses. It is an important thing. I would show up after hours to make sure I get the task done and the reward. I'm glad all of America thinks the same.

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stockholder's picture

January 09, 2022 at 02:03 pm

This game has everything to do with the draft. 1. If Jack. wins; the Lions will lose. 2. If Jack. loses; the lions will win. 3. The packers can go 1 and done, and they know it. (per playoffs) Losing could move them up in the draft. 4. If the Lions make a hero out of Love. The fan base will become split again. Rodgers will move on. And the packers pick later. 5. Does this game matter? Yes; Because the packers have cap problems. And money is the motivation in todays NFL. The problem isn't the draft. It's when Losing starts. It's hard to keep from Losing again. It weighs on the mind. It's like a jinx. The turn-around may take longer.

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Norm's picture

January 09, 2022 at 10:17 am

Huh?

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Qoojo's picture

January 09, 2022 at 10:18 am

With Bakh and possibly Meyers playing, I will be watching to see how they shift or alter the line.

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Swisch's picture

January 09, 2022 at 10:26 am

Perhaps playing the starters is a good thing, although I'm not sure how much one drive of seven minutes is going to make as far as getting ready for the playoffs.
My main point this week is Aaron Rodgers telling us in the preseason that the offense didn't need games to get its rhythm, that this could be done very well in practice.
Now, if Rodgers was to say he was wrong about those remarks, that the opener against the Saints showed him the error of his thinking, and that next preseason he definitely wants to get some work in those games with the other starters -- then that would be meaningful.
As it is, it seems Rodgers is playing today for selfish reasons, especially with the fragility of his tiny toe that has been such a huge story.
If true, that's not a good tone being set for the playoffs by our leader on the field.
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Another major question is if the decision to play the starters is being made by our quarterback or by our head coach?
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If these concerns and others about Rodgers are basically right, I'm wondering, how many NFC Championship Games he has to lose before he is humbled enough to really put the team first?
Will it be before his retirement?
By the way, what is the latest status report of Rodgers' toe? Any talk about the toe this week? Is it suddenly all better and no longer a concern?
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As for the other starters, I'd like to ask them if they think it's important to play in preseason games, and how this meaningless game is any different.
At least this game is meaningless to the team, and a starter playing is a risk of injury that would harm our chances for a Super Bowl.
How much do our players really care about the team, though?
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In any case, my sincere prayers that no players are injured today on either team.

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jannes bjornson's picture

January 09, 2022 at 11:35 am

Brady is playing for his bonuses. What's the difference?

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porupack's picture

January 09, 2022 at 12:03 pm

Swisch, perchance are you a writer for soap operas? You're really good at the ongoing conspiracies and dramas, and I'm so hooked. More please. As the G turns....

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