Oh The Irony: Packers Seem Ready to Draft Offense In The 1st Round

The Packers never drafted a skill position player in the 1st round for Aaron Rodgers. Will they do it in Jordan Love's first year as a starter?

After the Packers offense lit up the league with pinball numbers in 2011, they focused on building a defense worthy of complementing that offense.

Along the way, they changed defensive coordinators, they brought in big money free agents, and they drafted for defense.

And when I say they drafted for defense, I mean they really drafted for defense. Here is the list of every Packers first round pick since 2011:

Nick Perry
Datone Jones
Ha Ha Clinton-Dix
Damarious Randall
Kenny Clark
Jaire Alexander
Rashan Gary
Darnell Savage
Jordan Love
Eric Stokes
Quay Walker
Devonte Wyatt

Notice a trend?

Jordan Love and 11 defensive players. And that's not including 2017, when the Packers didn't have a 1st round pick, but took defensive players with each of their two 2nd round picks.

Somehow, through it all, the defense has pretty much always been what limited the team.

For the last decade, Green Bay has leaned on an Aaron Rodgers led offense to score enough. They did so more often than not, but now, the team is looking to move on from Rodgers and start the Jordan Love era.

So what does a team do with a young quarterback? Draft some much-needed skill position players in the 1st round to help them in their early phases as a starter?

Maybe.

The Packers aren't a team that reaches simply for need very often. They look for draft value and try to marry positions of need with positions that have high-ranked talent on the draft board. They've even shown a willingness to move around the board and try to find a spot where they needs align with the top of the board.

So what are the Packers needs this year?

On defense, the Packers biggest weakness is safety, where this year's class is light on 1st round talent. On offense, they need help at wide receiver and tight end and could also use help at offensive tackle.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (wide receiver), Quentin Johnston (wide receiver), Michael Mayer (tight end), Dalton Kincaid (tight end), Peter Skoronski (offensive tackle), and even Bijan Robinson (running back) have all been linked to the Packers in the 1st round this year.

The way the board is shaping up, the Packers may take a non-quarterback offensive player in the 1st round since 2011 when they took offensive tackle Derek Sherrod. If they went with a back, receiver, or tight end, it would be the first skill position player they took in the 1st round since wide receiver Javon Walker in 2002. It would be the 3rd skill player in the 1st round since running back Tony Bennett in 1990.

That's quite a stretch and would be an amazing twist of irony if, after ignoring skill position players in the 1st round for the entirety of Aaron Rodgers's career, they went with a skill position player in the 1st round for Jordan Love's inaugural season as a starter.   

 

 

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__________________________

Bruce Irons has played, coached, and studied football for decades. Best-selling author of books such as A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Draft, A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Salary Cap, and A Fan's Guide To NFL Free Agency Hits And Misses, Bruce contributes to CheeseHeadTV and PackersForTheWin.com.

Follow Bruce Irons on Twitter at @BruceIronsNFL.

__________________________

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Comments (190)

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GregC's picture

April 14, 2023 at 06:37 am

I'm not sure I'd call it ironic if they drafted offense in the first round considering how depleted the offense has become since the end of last season, with the loss of the top two tight ends, the top wide receiver, and Randall Cobb. They've allowed the offense to deteriorate more than it has in many years.

I'm wondering more and more if a first-round offensive tackle would be an especially good fit. O-line problems have been a big part of their last two playoff losses as well as the season-ending loss in an elimination game last season. Those were all home games too, so crowd noise was not a factor. I'm still leaning more toward OLB with the first pick, but if a good OT is available, I wouldn't complain.

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mrtundra's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:40 am

Yes, an OT in the first round could be good. Especially when Bakhtiari's situation, next season, is still up in the air. Get an OT and let him start at RT and if Bakhtiari leaves, for whatever reason, move the new OT to LT. I can see Paris Johnson, Peter Skoronski or Broderick Jones filling the bill, nicely. We still have Josh Njiman and Zach Tom, who have played OT, as well. What we need to do is see how Sean Rhyan, Rasheed Walker and Caleb Jones have developed since we drafted them last year.

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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:48 am

I don’t subscribe to the we need an OT in the first. I’d actually prefer our picks spent in improving G and C competition later. Unless we trade back, I actually don’t see a great offensive prospect at 15 absent a weird first 14 picks. I think there’s a strong chance out first pick is on D if we stay put. I’m OK with that. The offensive strength of this draft at value lies in round 2 and beyond.

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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:55 am

Tough to see us struggling to fill either OT position with this already on board:

OT Rasheed Walker
C/T Zach Tom
OT Luke Tenuta
OT/OG Sean Rhyan
OT Caleb Jones
OG Elgton Jenkins
OT Jean Delance
OT Yosh Nijman

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dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:17 am

OT Rasheed Walker <-- project who hasn't played a meaningful snap
C/T Zach Tom <-- where do they plan for him to settle? Logged a lot of practice and camp time inside.
OT Luke Tenuta <-- who?
OT/OG Sean Rhyan <-- seemed overwhelmed in 2022 camp, hasn't been a game day active, suspension. Transitioned to G.
OT Caleb Jones <-- who?
OG Elgton Jenkins <-- seems that he might be an IOL only/emergency OT after all
OT Jean Delance <-- who?
OT Yosh Nijman <-- contract year. Can they pay him? Do they WANT to pay him?

(keep in mind that by "who?", I'm saying those are PS/inactive/street FA/10th OL guys who need a lot of develpment)

There's a difference between having bodies (throw it against the wall and hope something sticks) and having depth. Let's not romanticize a bunch of these guys just because they're on the roster or the coaching staff has coached up guys in the past.

OT needs to be rock solid, and it's hard to be counting on the likes of Walker, Tenuta, Jones, or Delance to be game ready. You're going to rally to their defense, GG, but those are all JAGs or less-than-replacement-level based on where the Packers ended 2022, and it's hard to justify them as being better than that. Only the coaching staff knows better, and I hope that if they choose to lean on those guys as being part of the two deep, they're damn sure they're right.

I draft an OT somewhere in rounds 1-3.

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croatpackfan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:06 am

dobber, I would have no objection to draft another OT in this year draft. As everybody playing Packers draft history on this page, I would like to know how many OT 1st or 2nd round Packers drafted in TT/BG era and how they pan out?

Walker, Jones & Rhyan did not played last season means nothing in what we, fans, can say how ready or how good they might be. Tenuta, Delance are snatch from others PS for reason, not just to fill the numbers.

Zach Tom was also project, but showed that he is ready to cover either tackle side and even center position.

Do you really believe that Packers will announce after every practice how their players progress and who is near to be starter or who is the bust.

From last pre-season games, Walker looked pretty good (I know that level of competition was not top one) and that he belongs. Jones played much later for making any conclusion. Zac Tom needs to beef up to prepare himself for much heavier and stronger oponents, no matter where he would playing on the line.

Meyers might surprise everybody this season, when he will be snaping the ball to QB who will not wait last hunderd of second to call snap, as with that he enables defenders to be much quicker at the line of scrimnage than center (btw, how many offsides was produced with that kind of snapping?).

Elgton Jenkins and David Bakhtiari will cover left side of the line, Meyers at center, Rynian is RG and only open position is RT. They already has more than enough candidates for that position.

I'm all for drafting the pass rusher or CB at 15, if there is no top prospect in those 2 position, I'll trade down.

Regarding pass catchers, I think that drolling over this or that TE or WR is something I would be very careful in whom to pick.

Numbers of WR and TE drafted in first rounds and how many become all pros are something that should be taken in consideration. I rather pick those position not earlier than second day, because top prospect in that category are likely overestimated. There is some top WR selected in the 1st round, but more are 2nd or 3rd WR on the roster of many teams. That kind of players you can easily find on day 3. I do not know many top TE today in NFL that are top 1st day picks. Travis Kelce, Andrews, Gronkowski, Kittle, etc are all picked later in the draft. I recognize only Mercedes Lewis as confirmed top player taken on the 1st day!

So, with at least 10 picks there is a lot of holes that can be filled.

Safety? Packers have 6 safeties on the roster, no one all pro, but some was playing out of position for other teams. Also there is some good safety prospects on day 2 this year draft (3rd round!).

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dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:15 pm

"I would like to know how many OT 1st or 2nd round Packers drafted in TT/BG era and how they pan out?"

The answer, I believe, is four: Jason Spriggs, Derek Sherrod, Darryn Colledge, and Bryan Bulaga. Colledge ended up a G.

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croatpackfan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:52 pm

So, only 2 played significant snaps at OL. I remember Sherrod and Spriggs picks well. Packers fans were drooled about their data. They were projected both as 1st round picks. Never pan out.

Brian Bulaga was only pick that justify his drafting. College did not play long for Packers as I remember.

What I want to say is that projected first rounder are just that. Projects. No guarantee. As there are no guarantee for any player. That is all. But Packers have some good scouts who obviously knows to recognize talents among those late round Oliners. I believe Packers have no need to spare high draft pick on OL.

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LambeauPlain's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:52 pm

During 2020, the Packers also had a full OL room and thanks to a very good starting 5 in Bakht, Jenks, Linsley, Patrick and Turner...the back ups were perceived as very good too.

In a few seasons, Linsley rang the FA bell, Bakht and Jenks fell to the ACL, Turner left and the other guys in the OL room were huge downgrades. Hanson and Newman were first in and also the first out. Jags like Wagner and Kelly had to play.

I believe it is a good thing to have starting talent in backup roles on the OL...it is such an important position.

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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:27 pm

Yeah, dobs - they need development, of course. I listed them because that is what we would have left in the scenario outlined.

Did I say they were world beaters? I hope not. But, there's promise with many of them, and none of us can know how they might be developing, or not.

Walker had a pro-ready set of physical traits. Regressed his Senior season, and yeah, a project.

Tom, the guy can literally play anywhere, but I think he would move immediately to C.

Rhyan? OG. Built like a brick shithouse. Rugby too? That's some Tasmanian Devil shit right there.

Caleb Jones is a 6-9 370 road grader and a project... with 3 years starting experience over almost 2000 snaps LT/RT.

Elgton is Elgton.

Jean Delance? Your guess is as good as mine.

Yosh? Big fan of his progression from UDFA to today. For this year? One year deal? Hell yes.

So, what are we talking about here?

My using the term "stacked" to describe our OL? I was referencing the entirety of our OL, including Bak, and being in a position to actually move 5 of them, with 3 good, solid starters left standing. Show me another team that could swing that? On top of that, we've got a young QB1 who gets the ball out really F-ing fast.

Getting all loaded with piss over Bak moving on? Is there something I missed in our "Sell High Camp" we've been in together for the last 3 years?

I'm pretty sure my attendance was PERFECT! LOL

The possibility we may be needing to draft 3 or 4 more OL this year with a pile of picks? I'm not seeing a problem there at all. I'd tap O'Cyrus Torrence so freaking fast...!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It was just a thought a long time ago, and some of this stuff looks like it could be happening. We'll see.

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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 04:48 pm

Ok, I bit. Jean Delance is a much more interesting prospect than I gave him credit for. He’s definitely very athletic, good foot speed and bend and moves fluidly. However, he needs functional strength. Despite good hands, he lacks power. Skinny at 300 pounds and 6’4, freakishly long arms of 36 1/2 inches. He needs muscle mass and has a frame to add bulk.

Honestly, I’d never paid him a moments attention. I’m glad I did. This guy is a project, physically, but with more strength he’s got the athletic ability and surprisingly good general hand and foot technique, though he needs to improve bend and body usage. Explosive, massive wingspan. If this kid works hard in the weight room I’m actually interested in seeing him play.

After a transfer, In 2018 he played in four games as a reserve offensive lineman before starting the next 37 games for the Florida Gators, mostly at right tackle. He blocked for Heisman Trophy Finalist Kyle Trask to help the Gators lead the nation in passing yards per game (378.6), while ranking eighth nationally in yards per play (7.28) and ninth in yards per game (509.8). Delance was invited to participate at the East-West Shrine Bowl in 2021.

He went undrafted despite having several predictions that he would go in the 5th or later. I am not sure why, other than he clearly needs to add strength before contributing. He’s a CB little older, but still seems odd.

Well there is another guy who might be worth having on our 90.

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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 06:50 pm

LMAO!

“Thank you kindly for playing! Ginger, tell the man what he’s won…”

Appreciate you digging in on Delance. I have to as well. Can you imagine the planning mtgs AR has had with NYJ leading up to this?

Bak signed his extension, then Aaron claims on a podcast the next week that that was the very day he decided he wanted to play for the Jets.

Bing.

Then you look at what they have to protect Rodgers? Nothing. Nothing they can count on. Becton returning from a broken kneecap, maybe switches to RT. That’s it. If he can… that’s no gimme.

What? They’re going to draft 4 other OL and Aaron’s gonna be cool with that?
Psssha!

Trade for Bakhtiari and draft 3 OL?

Psssha!

No. That’s what got me looking at who AR would want that were tradable, looking up their dead cap hits. First Bak, then Runyan. Thought more after learning how poor their C play has been. Myers dead cap about $1.2M.

Not having a draft class to fit into their cap, combined with their need to re-sign Quinnen Williams? That helps their 2023 cap. Toss their other picks to GB, 112, 143 & 207 for whole lot, including Hanson & Newman?

The entire 2023 NYJ draft for AR, Runyan, Myers, Hanson & Newman? R1 2024 post June 1 for Bak?

That’s a gigantic leap guess, but fits the lay of the land. All OL fully trained in Hackett’s scheme adds a lot more value.

Put it this way, we have Woody’s woody in a vice. If the Packers pull out of this trade, what are the Jets left with?

Their very own Dick Sinderhantz.

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StarrtoRodgers's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:31 pm

GreenGold,

David Bakhtiairi will never agree to a trade to the Jets because the Jets play half their games on artificial turf.

And really none of the players should agree to cripple themselves for life just to enrich these Parasite Billionaire Owners and the computer key tapping, pencil pushing, stuffed suit management parasite that lives off these players for our entertainment.

The Jets and Giants both play in the same stadium and on the same artificial turf.

So many Giants and Jets have had season and/or career ending NON CONTACT LOWER LEG injuries on the Jets/Giants artificial turf over the years.

This year the Jets will be playing 10 games in that stadium:

“The New York Jets have nine home games in 2023 – they’ll actually be playing 10 regular-season games at MetLife Stadium for the first time ever because they’re set to play ‘at’ the Giants in the fall.”

For that reason Bakhtiari – who has had an a terrible time with ACL and knee injuries - will retire before he would play for the Jets and I am sure Bakhtiari and Rodgers have spoken about it.

Packers of course lost both Eric Stokes and Rashan Gary to lower leg injuries on Detroit’s artificial turf last year and De’Vondre Campbell to lower leg injury on Buffalo’s artificial turf.

David Bakhtiari Rips NFL Over Safety Issue

The Packer lost star pass rusher, Rashan Gary, to a torn ACL this past Sunday at Ford Field, and Left Tackle David Bakhtiari believes he knows the Culprit. Turf Fields.
Bakhtiari became the latest NFL player to come out and blast the league’s inability to protect player safety by allowing certain organizations to continue to use a certain type of turf field.

He cited the disparity between turf fields and grass fields and spoke about how there will likely be “10 more players (who) will go down this season with completely avoidable non-contact injuries.”

He also spoke about how these same teams will cater to European Soccer teams and change their turf fields to grass fields for them but still refuse to have grass fields for their own players, ignoring the very real issues about player safety. Kicker Mason Crosby also said something similar.

In addition to Crosby and Bakhtiari, 3 more Packers on the artificial turf issue:

Packers Defender Rips NFL After Teammate Rashan Gary Tears ACL

After Packers outside linebacker Rashan Gary suffered a torn ACL during Sunday’s 15-9 loss to the Lions in Detroit, teammate De’Vondre Campbell called out the NFL for using artificial turf fields.

Gary was injured when he switched his running direction in the third quarter on the Ford Field turf.

“This is two weeks in a row we’ve had players get injured on turf fields,” Campbell tweeted on Monday: “I think it’s time y’all take some of the money y’all make off us and invest in grass fields for every team around the league. The turf is literally like concrete it has no give when you plant.”

Only Natural Grass Can Level The NFL's Playing Field By JC Tretter - Packer Offensive Lineman from 2013 thru 2017, Browns 2018 to 2022 & Past and Current NFL Players Association President:

As a rookie learning the ins and outs of being a professional football player, I remember the collective groan that my older teammates made whenever it was announced that we’d be practicing indoors on artificial turf instead of the usual outdoor grass field. I played almost exclusively on synthetic turf in college. Once I started experiencing both surfaces interchangeably, I began to understand exactly why my teammates disliked the practices on turf. Whenever I practiced on an artificial field surface, my joints felt noticeably stiffer the next day. The unforgiving nature of artificial turf compounds the grind on the body we already bear from playing a contact sport.

Aaron Rodgers: 'Time to go all grass' fields for NFL player safety:

GREEN BAY, Wis. – Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers thinks it's time for the NFL to mandate that all games be played on natural grass surfaces, but he doesn't have high hopes that it will happen.

"No, honestly, I don't have a lot of confidence when it comes to the league making that decision without some sort of big vote and gripes from certain owners who don't want to spend the money," Rodgers said Tuesday.

"[Expanding to 17 games] was about monetary gains, so this would be putting your money where your mouth is if player safety is important."

Rodgers' comments Tuesday followed a concerted effort by the NFL Players Association over the weekend to bring attention to a disparity between injury occurrences on grass and a certain type of artificial surface called "slit-film turf."

"I do think it's time to go all grass throughout the league," Rodgers said. "I think you would see less of these noncontact injuries that we see on some of the surfaces, and I think that it'd be a good step in the right direction towards player safety to make the requirement for every field to be grass."

From Elite Sports New York:

MetLife Stadium’s playing surface is infamous in the NFL. Many coaches and players say it is unsafe. And they do have a litany of anecdotes they say back up their claims — Giants wideout Sterling Shepard’s non-contact ACL tear being the most recent one.
The NFLPA believes it now has hard evidence as well. From Pro Football Talk:
NFLPA president JC Tretter posted a column with a series of action items, including a plea to remove all “slit-film” turf fields.

Many had never before heard that term. Seven of the league’s 32 teams (the Giants, Jets, Lions, Vikings, Saints, Colts, and Bengals) use slit-film turf. Slit-film also is used at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.

“The injuries on slit film are completely avoidable — both the NFL and NFLPA experts agree on the data — and yet the NFL will not protect players from a subpar surface,” Tretter wrote.
(…)

PFT has obtained a slide prepared recently by Biocore, an outside firm that provides engineering analysis for both the league and the union.

In the slide, Biocore explains that “slit-film has a statistically significant higher risk of LEX [lower extremity] injury than the League average,” explaining that independent analyses from Biocore and IQVIA agree on that point. The slide also says that “models suggest there are 2-3 more non-contact lower extremity injuries per season per stadium on slit film surfaces than other types of synthetic turf fields.”

Slit-film turf is designed for durability. So it makes sense MetLife Stadium would opt for it given it hosts double the games each season. But if there is hard data indicating it is not as safe as other forms of turf, why not do something about it? They do not need to gut the entire stadium (although that would be nice). They just need to spend a few million bucks and swap out the fake grass. Just do it.

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NickPerry's picture

April 14, 2023 at 06:38 am

"That's quite a stretch and would be an amazing twist of irony if, after ignoring skill position players in the 1st round for the entirety of Aaron Rodgers's career, they went with a skill position player in the 1st round for Jordan Love's inaugural season as a starter."

When Rodgers took over in 2008 he ha a pretty loaded WR room in place. They had just added Jordy Nelson and J-Mike in the draft that spring to go with Jennings, Jones, and Driver. After Cobb in 2011 and Adams in 2014. Remember the SI Cover in 2011? That was an AMAZING group of talent. But Finley got injured, Driver got old, and Jennings got greedy. Instead of restocking the skill positions the kept adding to the Defense, BUT kept the same old tired D-Coordinator far too long. IMO had the Packers added WR's and/or TE's instead of players like Randall, Rollins, King, (OMG King...UGH!) to name a few maybe they have that 5th and 6th Lombardi Trophy. They just let it go too long.

Fast forward the the "Love Era" and this poor kid is walking into a pretty bare ass WR room. Hey, I'm STOKED for Watson and Doubs and I'm even hopeful for Toure, but Patrick Mahomes would have a hard time with the current group. You need more than two POSSIBLY productive WRs. Now most here know I'm one of the biggest homers on this site. I've always defended Gutekunst, really to a fault. But IMO Gute has completely dropped the ball restocking the Offensive skill positions like WR and TE...At least until last year.

When Rodgers is traded, whether they get a 1st rounder, one or two 2nd rounders or fill in the blank, IT IS TIME to draft the skill positions. Like it or not this team is rebuilding. Some want a OT to be selected but what about Zack Tom? That dude is ready to play NOW. I also wouldn't shut the door on Sean Ryhan. Granted he didn't do anything to inspire much hope last year, but that kid IS talented. Maybe not too bright but talented nonetheless.

Give Love some weapons otherwise the Packers are just setting him up for failure.

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RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:08 am

I posted something similar about Rodgers being younger and how they had a stacked WR room for him. But after drafted Cobb they only drafted Adams in 14, until last year when they took Watson in the 2nd round.

I really like Watson and Doubs. That is a great start for the WR room. I do hope for Toure and Melton. BUT, I don't want to rely on them. I want them to draft 2 more WR's in this draft. They have to continue to add to the position. Also they have to come out of this draft with 1-2 TE's. They need to rebuild that position as well.

I don't think the Packers need an OT. Tom is good. He is basically Bakhtiari 2.0. He is ready and I feel great about him being a starting OT. Also, keep an eye on the other rookie OL from last year. Rhyan and Walker could be in the mix. Caleb Jones and Luke Tenuta are guys to keep an eye on. And they will draft someone there as well. But it doesn't have to be a high draft pick.

I 100% agree that we need to give Love weapons.

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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:02 am

RC, I agree this Packers OL is way more stacked than many might think. We're left wondering how players have developed since entering the system, but, I like our OL coaching staff, and I think they'll have their guys ready.

Bakhtiari's recent comments point to him being out, when referencing to the Packers as "they." I think he's a Jet post June 1.

Given that, Yosh likely returns to start opposite Tom, or one of Rasheed Walker, Luke Tenuta, Caleb Jones, Jean Delance. Rhyan will have that suspension to deal with to start the season, and likely moves to OG anyway.

If Bakhtiari is traded, it's likely for NYJ 2024 R1. I'm not counting on his returning to play with the Packers this year. Not at all.

As for WR early, maybe Gutekunst pulls the trigger on a gamble pick like Quentin Johnston. I could see that happening, and it would make a lot of sense if he delivers. He's young. There's room to develop his skill set further. He'd be a gamble simply being an R1 WR, a position with one of the highest bust potentials outside of EDGE rusher.

That's kind of funny too, given these discussions. Is EDGE R1 really the safer pick? Hmmm... No. If I'm not mistaken, I think EDGE is - the - highest bust rate R1 pick.

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RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:54 am

You do bring up an interesting scenario. What if we were to trade Bakhtiari. That changes everything imo. At that point OT becomes likely our number 1 need going into the draft.

That being said I took his comments differently. When he said they I felt he was more referring to they as Front office and people talking about GB more then they as players/team.

I wouldn't necessarily say WR is a bust pick in round 1, but I will say you can a lot of times find as good of talent in round 2.

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dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:22 am

They won't trade Bakhtiari until around the deadline, if at all. They would've never touched his contract if they wanted to deal him any time soon.

Bakhtiari is in his last season in GB--he chose that by not taking void years and by ramping up his 2024 cash value as he did. It might mean he wants to retire after 2023, too. Who knows. Whatever the case, he needs to be replaced in 2024 -- maybe they sign Nijman to a long-term deal. Maybe they don't. If not, that's your top 2 OTs off the depth chart.

OT is a need...it just doesn't look like one.

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RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:12 am

Maybe future need. Which they can draft a guy in the 4th round and be good. But the trade part if they know they are going to trade, him, I could see them drafting an OT higher.

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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:27 am

3rd day, whether we trade Bakh or not.

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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:14 am

Maybe I'm wrong, but DB looks tradable after June 1st.

Have we paid him out in signing bonus for the Jets in exchange for agreed upon added 2024 draft capital in this separate deal? Maybe they have already agreed in principle to make that work for us post June 1?

From what I understand, Bakhtiari's post June 1st dead cap is $16.8M, while his cap number is $21.3M.

Take his $21.3M off the books, minus the $16.8M dead cap charge, and we're +$4.5M...

No?

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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:53 am

Yes, post June 1.

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dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:19 pm

So...they could've left his contract alone, gotten something like $6+M in cap relief this year with a pre-Jun 1 trade or release, or better on post Jun 1--but instead touched up his contract such that the only way they could move him is if it's post Jun. 1, where they net less cap relief (~ $4.5M) and incur a significant charge in 2024?

That sounds smart.

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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:17 pm

If I recall, it helped them to get under the cap bar to start the new league year. TGR May correct me, but I think that was the driver.

TGR has cited the Bakh deal rework as freeing up 7.5 million in cap this year (but not the full amount additional void years could have allowed) while explaining that more was still required.

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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:28 pm

dobber, you’re totally missing the point. The Packers, by paying this monster bonus, leaving a simple $1.2M base salary, made it work for NYJ - who will need to re-sign Quinnen Williams, along with AR & Co. Trade.

In return, NYJ most likely increases the draft capital to GB. Essentially buying more draft capital from them. It’s been all about that the whole time since restructuring.

Don’t you see?

Rodgers demanded terms of DB June 1 trade were worked out prior to announcing he wanted to play for NYJ.

I’ll put money on it. Next year, NYJ can restructure DB.

It’s bananas & at the same time makes the most sense, everything considered for both teams.

A lot of intricate cap work just to pull it off.

This may go down as the biggest trade in NFL history.

Bak said “Aaron will be a Jet. He essentially is a Jet already (paraphrasing that first part, best I recall). They (GB) will get everything they want,” when asked if both teams were at an impasse on draft compensation.

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LambeauPlain's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:29 pm

I agree. Due to the importance of the OL and the need to have 5 guys playing together creating synergies (Myers played better when both Jenks and JRJ were his wingmen), my view is to draft an OL every draft on either day 1 or day 2. And add another on day 3.

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GregC's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:30 am

If the OL is "stacked," why did they have such a poor showing in a play-in home game against the Lions at the end of last season? Jenkins is still a really good guard, and Bahktiari is still very good when healthy, but the O-line looked pretty average overall last year. They have a lot of O-linemen who are borderline NFL starters, but only two who are better than average, and Bahktiari is a big injury risk and may not be back next year.

2 points
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RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:14 am

Yosh struggled at RT. They made the change and Tom took over and was better.

An offseason of Yosh and Runyan playing on the rightside will only help them.

Myers has a full season under his belt also. He improved from week 1 to week 18. This OL improved as the season wore on and after they made the big switch.

They can draft OL, I just don't think they need one in the first round.

2 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:26 am

Yosh was playing with a torn shoulder. Frankly I don’t know what the hell they were thinking starting a one armed RT not once but twice only to have it fail. Any other coaching staff and I’d assume it spoke to the depth, but not that one, not after the bungled getting Tom and Yosh out there not sitting as reserved and the whole Newman/Hanson farce etc.

I have real concerns about the OL coaching/personnel decisions, starting in our last championship game and running all through last summers’ usage and into the season.

4 points
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greengold's picture

April 15, 2023 at 12:12 am

OMG, you just said it!

“The Newman/Hanson farce.”

Farce or preview?

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dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:21 pm

In aggregate, they were statistically a good pass-blocking OL.

We know there were stretches where they were getting their lunch handed to them, though.

4 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:02 am

There is no chance we rely on what we have. Just in practical terms. We have only 5 receivers in the roster, that includes Cotton. We have only one true size/Speed prospect (unless the 6’2 4.37 Cotton counts) and no big WR/move TE for the Lazard role. The only competitive role at present is the slot.

We normally have around 10-12 WRs in camp. While I assume there might be 3/4 UDFA/SFA types, one of whom may be Cotton, that still leaves a hole that we have to fill in the draft.

We have to draft WRS, maybe 2 or 3 as well as TEs. The question isn’t if but when. The good news is that the size/speed and big body types exist in this draft from round 3 on. Not really before that absent a reach. That opens up opportunities to address TE/Edge/DL/S early, pick up WRs/second TE later and add OL depth at G/C where the value lies.

This is not a great draft at most positions, but it’s one that actually could stack up well with our needs and in terms of value. With STs largely addressed, we can focus on toke players with upside exclusively later (and maybe a K).

On a separate note, I believe Rhyan has already served his suspension in full—which may well be why there was no appeal to prevent it running out last season. He’s been at G almost exclusively since he arrived.

5 points
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:34 am

Totally, totally agree. Not just totally...

Oooooo! I didn't know about Rhyan's status, but having him here to start the season could be huge. Especially if we trade a pile of OL to the Jets as I suspect.

I've dug in on this WR class, not as heavily as you, but, I like what I see.

Our # 1 WR need is actually Watson's position, given the durability issues we saw last season. Hopefully, Christian Watson can put those to bed with a solid season this year. He's versatile enough to be a nightmare lining up anywhere.

That's why I think Quentin Johnston will be the pick to take over the X WR, if Gutekusnt goes that high. My gut tells me he feels set at the Slot WR position with Toure & Melton.

Adding Johnston, which I wouldn't put past Gutekunst to do if given the opportunity, to Watson, Doubs, Melton & Toure has potential to be a step in the right direction.

The Packers should have enough picks from the AR trade to load in at WR any way they choose.

I think we could see different body types added as well. Hyatt, Flowers, Reed are small profile fits any of whom might make for a nice rotation with Doubs outside, providing great depth there and in slot. Rice, Tillman, Perry, Fit Day 2 slotting and have to be considered legit possibilities.

And, then there's a wealth of possibilities late, as you mentioned.

WHERE? That is the question. I'm not going to get upset if they snap Johnston off the top. Not at all. Plenty of WR draft crushes to take throughout for quality depth adds. Andrei Iosivas. Elijah Higgins. Matt Landers. Justin Shorter. Bryce Ford-Wheaton.

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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:57 am

Johnston will have to have the scouts convinced that his 4.5 time was a significant anomaly and just not representative. A guy with that speed is significantly slower than Doubs and Toure (Melton more so but he’s a slot). Johnston is also not much taller —6’3” to Doubs 6’2” and Toure 6’1.

Johnston isn’t a round one talent unless that speed and his other testing was truly an unrepresentative aberration.

2 points
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:22 am

Hey Coldworld. I'm not saying I would go that route, only that I could see Gutekunst doing such. Of the top 3 WR talents in this draft, our positional needs are either the X or the slot WR spot.

I happen to think adding another X would help this team more, but that's just me.

None of us knows how they have QJ or JSN or JA rated, nor how they would plan for using any of them.

Jerry Rice's 40 Time was 4.71.

LOL Who knows what they're thinking?

0 points
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StarrtoRodgers's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:41 am

Greengold. here are the explanations and answers you asked for:

STR: “In all probability, based on Jordan's leading all of college football in interceptions his last year of college…”

G&G: "Stop right there. Please, explain the factors which led to this 2019 anomaly for Jordan Love,"

STR: Greengold, I'll leave excuses for Jordan's all of college football leading interceptions for you to try to explain.

Jordan wasn't playing with a broken thumb on this throwing hand 12 of 17 games.
Didn't lose a Hall of Fame wide receiver.

Didn't lose the receiver that saved Kansas City's season in the AFC championship game.
Jordan threw the interceptions, not his defense, not his receivers, not his coaches.

G&G: "There are multiple answers."

STR: There are multiple excuses I am sure for Jordan's performance, but I will give you reality.

G&G: "Jordan Love, the most efficient and accurate QB in all of college football in 2018."
STR: There are no facts to support this statement.

1. Jordan Love ranked 34th in completion percentage in 2018 with a completion average of 64% playing against inferior competition.

Future NFL Qbs like Gardner Minshew 70.7%, Kyler Murray 69%, Tua Tagovailoa 69%, Brett Rypien 67.3%, Brock Purdy 66.4%, Zach Wilson 65.9%, Trevor Lawrence 65.2%, Sam Ehlinger 64.7%, Tyler Huntley 64.1% and 24 other College QBs all had higher competiton/accuracy percentages than Jordan.

See ESPN College Football States 2018 season or Sports Reference 2018 Passing as the Cheese Head TV doesn't seem to like links.

I don't know what measure you are using for "efficiency".

2. Jordan in 2018 - and his entire 2017-19 3 year college career - was playing against Mountain West Conference teams - the Little Sisters of the Poor.

Never once has there been a National Champion from that Conference.
And the non conference teams on the Utah State's schedule in 2018 were the Little Sisters of the Poor's little sisters - 3-9 New Mexico State, 1-10 Tennessee Tech (from the Ohio Valley Conference with football "powerhouses" like UT Martin, Lindenwood, Tennessee State, Southeast Missouri, etc.), North Texas (from powerhouse Conference USA with Middle Tennessee State, Florida International University, Charlotte, UAB, UTEP, Louisiana Tech, Rice, etc.).

In the one 2018 game against a team from a major conference - a "Power Five Conference" (ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac 12, SEC) producing National Champions, the Big Ten, Jordan played against an average Michigan State team that would finish 7-6 and Utah State and Jordan threw 0 Tds and 2 interceptions in an opening day loss - Jordan's NFL passer rating that day was 68.2.

The next week Utah State, played another team outside the Mountain West Conference, but it was another little sister of the little sisters of the poor, 3-9 New Mexico State, and though Utah State won big, Utah State won despite Jordan's performance - 14 for 27 with 1 TD and 1 interception for a 66.7% NFL Passer rating.

In 2019, the day of reckoning came for Jordan and every day since against NFL worthy competition has been the same.

In the opening game of 2019 Jordan and Utah State faced Wake Forest from the ACC, a Power Five Conference team, and Jordan throws 3 interceptions and his counterpart at Wake Forest, Jaime Newman, 0 interceptions and Wake Forest wins.

Here is a taste of that Wake Forest game:

"The Aggies’ final drive was disjointed, with Love initially uncorking several bombs deep downfield into coverage that were lucky not to be intercepted. Yet they haltingly picked up yardage, first when Love found Siaosi Mariner down the middle for 24 yards; then five more on a short completion to Caleb Repp; and a crucial additional 15 when another attempt to Repp resulted in a targeting penalty on Wake cornerback Nasir Greer.

With the ball now at at the 31-yard line — well within the effective range of kicker Dominik Eberle — USU seemed poised to at least force overtime.

One play later, that poise disappeared in a fog of ill-conceived aggression, as Love forced a throw into the right flat, and a diving Justin Strnad picked it off at the 20-yard line to finally seal the deal.

It was a disappointing conclusion for USU, which racked up 596 yards for the game, but might better remember the sting of consecutive first-quarter drives into the red zone concluding with a combined zero points — the former ending with a fourth-and-1 run by Warren being stuffed for no gain at the Wake 13; the latter terminating on a third-and-3 from the 4-yard line, when Love had his first interception picked off in the end zone."
Next Utah State played the kid sister of the little sisters of the poor's little sister - the Stony Brook "Seawolves" from the Colonial Athletic Association - Real Competition!!, with such powerhouses in the conference as Elon, Towson, Monmouth, etc.

But then Utah State played the only other non Little Sister of the Poor team from Mountain West Conference or the pushovers Utah State chose for its non conference games, LSU!

Much like 20 year old Aaron Rodgers and huge underdog Cal on October 9, 2004 l had a chance to show what he could do against the Nation's top ranked team and defending National Champion USC with Pete Carroll coaching and future NFL star Reggie Bush and2004 Heisman Trophy Winner and NFL QB Matt Leinhart, Utah State and Jordan Love had the chance to play then #5 ranked LSU on October 5, 2019 and elevate themselves to the top.

And what did Jordan Love and Utah State do with that opportunity against Joe Burrow and LSU?

Love 15 for 30, 0 Tds, 3 interceptions, 130 yards passing and an ABYSMAL 20.1 NFL Passer Rating!!

Burrow 27 for 38, 5 Tds, 1 interception, 344 yards passing and a 127.6 NFL Passer Rating!

Here on YOUTUBE is the FULL GAME video Green and Gold, watch it and see what you think of Jordan Love's performance in the then and now biggest game of his career:

October 5, 2019 - Utah State vs #5 LSU

Although the Utah State defense did its part for Jordan- intercepting Burrow and recovering 2 fumbles and giving Jordan Love great field position, all Jordan could do for most of the day were 3 and outs and 3 interceptions, keeping Utah State's defense on the field all day.

Not even a touchdown for Love and Utah State!

Much like the Kansas City Chief game that Jordan started in 2021 - 7 point, 19 for 34, 1 TD, 1 Interception, 69.5% NFL passer rating - terrible! Only touchdown scored is late in the 4th quarter with the game already decided and the Chiefs - like the Eagles in the Packers Eagles game this year - sitting back in a prevent defense and giving Jordan short passes that Green and Gold could complete. After Green Bay scores, Chiefs just run out the clock, like the Eagles. The pass rushes and blitz and pressure were reserved for the first 3 quarters when the game was still in the balance.

Here is a description read about of the Utah State Jordan Love vs. LSU Joe Burrow game:
The Utah State offense was rendered ineffective against LSU, which Andersen said was doing “everything” to limit it.

“Our MO was to get some mojo going and get some plays stacked on each other to wear them out,” Andersen said. “It didn’t happen today. We didn’t get that one play. You’ve got to find a way to get a couple of first downs. It was very frustrating to see where we were on offense today against a very talented defense. I’m not taking away from LSU.”
Quarterback Jordan Love went 15 for 30 for 130 yards through the air and threw three interceptions and no touchdowns, by far his worst performance of the season.
The Aggie defense did have one interception, by Cameron Haney, and the two forced fumbles by Meitzenheimer, but the offense was unable to convert either of those into touchdowns, settling instead for field goals in the red zone. Nathan said at least one of those should have been seven points instead of three and it was frustrating for them to not be able to execute.

“Anytime you get a turnover, you want to capitalize on those turnovers,” Meitzenheimer said. “I’m just trying to make plays for my teammates.”

By comparison, we know what happened with 20 year old junior Aaron Rodgers in that game against #1 USC, here is the video, also on Youtube:

Aaron Rodgers sets record - No. 7 Cal vs. No. 1 USC (October 9, 2004) | NCAA Football Highlights

Rodgers: 29 completions in 34 pass attempts for 267 yards and 1 TD and 0 Interceptions and NFL Passer rating of 109.1 , outplaying 2004 Heisman Trophy Winner and 2004 National Champion USC QB Matt Leinhart.

Lenhart: 15 completions in 24 pass attempts for 164 yards and 2 TD and 1 interception and NFL Passer rating of 93.0.

Here is an excerpt from a description of the game:

LOS ANGELES (AP) -- Southern California seemed helpless as Aaron Rodgers picked away at its defense, hitting pass after pass. But with California just 9 yards from a potential winning score, the Trojans finally found a way to stop the Golden Bears' near-perfect quarterback.

The top-ranked Trojans held the seventh-ranked Bears out of the end zone after a first-and-goal with less than two minutes left and held on for a 23-17 victory Saturday.
"I was running on empty, our defense was running on empty, butI knew they weren't going to score," Trojans defensive end Shaun Cody said.

Southern California (5-0, 2-0 Pac-10) extended its winning streak to 14 games and avenged its only loss in the last 26. The Bears' 34-31 triple-overtime victory last season kept the Trojans from claiming an undisputed national title.

Before Cal's final four plays, Rodgers was 29-for-31 for 267 yards and a touchdown.
"It's frustrating as a defense when a guy is on fire like that," Cody said. "You've just got to hold on and try to do something thing to stop them from the end zone."

That just what the Trojans did after Rodgers got Cal (3-1, 1-1) to first-and-goal at the 9 with just under two minutes left.

Southern Cal got a sack and forced three incomplete passes.
Rodgers' final throw came with pressure coming and zipped by a diving Geoff McArthur in the end zone, sending most of the more than 90,000 at the Los Angeles Coliseum into a frenzy and the Bears home with a hard-fought loss.

Matt Leinart threw two touchdown passes for the Trojans, who failed to get a first down in the fourth quarter.

"Anybody watching this game knows we really dominated the game. We just came up a little short in the score," said Rodgers, who tied an NCAA record by completing his first 23 passes for the Bears (3-1, 1-1).

It was the first time in 52 years the Golden Bears and Trojans met with both teams ranked in the top 10, and the much-awaited matchup lived up to the hype. The teams traded touchdowns to start the third quarter with Leinart hooking up with Dwayne Jarrett on a 16-yard score and Marshawn Lynch plunging in from 2 yards out for Cal to make it 23-17.

Reggie Bush appeared to get the momentum back for Southern Cal with an electrifying 84-yard kickoff return. Bush bobbled the ball twice trying to field the kick, then split the coverage and raced clear across the field before being taken down at the 16.

But Cal thwarted the Trojans when Harrison Smith intercepted Leinart's tipped pass in the end zone.

Cal dominated the fourth quarter putting together two long drives. The only thing the Bears failed to do was score.

"Bend but don't break, that's what this game became," Trojans coach Pete Carroll said.
Tom Schneider missed a 36-yard field goal wide right with 6:53 left that would have pulled Cal within three.

Rodgers and Co. got the ball back with 4:30 left.

"We expected to win when we took the field," Rodgers said. "I said, 'We're going to go 65 yards right here and get the win.' It's just frustrating that we couldn't get the job done."
Rodgers hooked up with McArthur on passes of 11 and 19 yards, the latter a dart over a defender as McArthur streaked down the sideline that gave the Bears a first down at the 9.

Rodgers threw his first incompletion that wasn't a throwaway on first down, and Southern Cal snuffed out a shovel pass play with Manuel Wright sacking the junior quarterback on second down.

After another incomplete throw into the end zone on third down from the 14, Cal called a timeout.

With the crowd blaring, Southern Cal got a push up the middle and made the biggest stop of the game. All that was left was for Leinart to take a knee twice and secure the Trojans' latest escape.

The Trojans had to rally from 11 points down at half to beat Stanford 31-28 in their last game.

"The last two weeks have been a battle to the end," said Leinart, who lost the battle of Heisman contender quarterbacks, going 15-for-25 for 164 yards -- not that it mattered to the junior. "I'm so excited I can hardly talk," he said.

J.J. Arrington had 112 yards on 21 carries for the Bears, who outgained the Trojans 424-205 but have still never beaten a No. 1 team in seven tries.

For a change, Southern Cal got off to good start against the Bears. Cal outscored the Trojans 42-10 in the first half of the last two meetings. This time the Trojans grabbed an early 10-0 advantage with the help of a couple of Cal miscues.

The first came when Cal punter David Lonie couldn't handle a low snap and was tackled at the Bears 31. Moments later, Leinart hit LenDale White sneaking out of the backfield from 5 yards out for a 7-0 lead.

Cal's defense allowed only three first-half field goals by Ryan Killeen after the touchdown, shutting down Southern Cal after the Trojans came up with two takeaways and had a chance to build a comfortable lead.

The Bears had little trouble moving the ball in the first half, looking every bit like the second-ranked offense in the country, but it took a while for them to get into the end zone.

Rodgers completed a perfect first half with a 20-yard touchdown to McArthur that made it 13-10 with 1:37 left in the second quarter.

Rodgers was 14-for-14 in the first half for 133 yards.

G&G: Below are a set of refresher numbers:

2018 Jordan Love - Utah St.
267 Comp , 417 Att, 67%, 3547 yds, 8.6 y/a, 32 TD, 6 INT, 158.3 rating

STR: First, putting aside the fact that Jordan for his 3 years at Utah State played the overwhelming majority of his games against Mountain West Conference Little Sisters of the Poor Competition and then their out of Conference games against handpicked little sisters of the little sisters, the college passer rating can be confused with the NFL passer rating for which a perfect score is 158.3 and Jordan did not come anywhere close to a perfect NFL passer rating in any of his 3 college seasons.

So let's put Jordan's final college year passer rating of 158.3 into proper perspective.

Tua's college passer rating for 2019 was 199.4, Kyler Murray 199.2, Dwyane Haskins 174.1, Brock Purdy 169.9.

Jordan was tenth in college passer rating in his junior season.

But since it is NFL passer rating that we judge NFL QBs on and for good reason:

"Through the 2020 NFL season, in the 78 games where a passer - with a minimum of 10 passing attempts - achieved a perfect 158.3 passer rating his team won all but 5 times. Consequently the NFL's passer rating is an excellent measure of the QB's performance and contribution towards winning. "

let's see what Jordan's attempts, completions, interceptions and yards passing give us in terms of NFL passer rating.

You can do the calculation in a spread sheet (it is a simple formula) or use a website's calculator.

Jordan's 2018 NFL passer rating was 110.6, the anomaly compared to his NFL passer rating from his 2017 season - 77.4 - and his 2019 season - 82.79.

G&G: Secondly, please list Jordan Love’s qualities/characteristics which led the Packers to trade up in 2020 to take him, despite his throwing 19 INT in 2019.

STR: Green and Gold, actually an all of College Football leading 17 interceptions, not 19.
Factors that led to Brian's trading up for Jordan:

1) Nothing other than Brian Gutekunst's poor judgement, inexperience as a GM, poor communication skills, youthful ego and loss of his emotions and jealousy of Aaron Rodgers composure, honesty and superior communication skills led Brian to trade up to take Love in 2020,

2) Brian overlooked the fact that Rodgers the past 2 years in 2018 and 2019 had just broken an all time NFL Record for fewest interceptions - only 2 - by a QB throwing more than 500 passes in a season and then in 2019 challenged his own record with just 4 interceptions, finishing 2nd all time.

3) Brian also mistook the 2019 Jordan Love of the Little Sisters of the Poor Mountain West Conference for the 2004 Aaron Rodgers of the Pac 12 Conference producer of 10 National Championships and failed to study both QBs performances against NFL type competition, which Aaron by virtue of the conference he was playing in was seeing every week. Jordan crumbled in college vs. big time competition, while Aaron and Brett too in 1990 vs Alabama and Auburn thrived.

4) Brian also mistook the 2019 Aaron Rodgers for the 2007 Brett Favre. Rodgers is all time NFL leader in protecting the football and Favre is the NFL leader in giving the ball away.

Sports Illustrated put it well:

"GREEN BAY, Wis. – The Green Bay Packers traded up to select Jordan Love in the first round of last year’s draft. From the raw numbers, he could hardly be more different than the man he might eventually replace, Aaron Rodgers.

Rodgers has the best touchdown-to-interception ratio and lowest interception percentage in NFL history. Rodgers’ ability to make big plays while avoiding big plays for the opponent is a defining characteristic. Love, on the other hand, threw 20 touchdowns vs. 17 interceptions last season, the latter number being the most in the nation."

and should have stopped there as should have Brian.

But now if this ignorant emotion and jealousy driven trade goes through - and maybe even if Brian does the prudent thing and retains Rodgers as the backup in case Jordan fails as the starter, which based on probability he will - we will get to see reality and we can compare Jordan's 2023 performance with that of Aaron's in 2008:

The Packers finished 6 and 10 in 2008 not because of Rodgers who was near the top of 32 starting quarterbacks in just about every important QB category, but due to key injuries on defense to nose tackle Cullen Jenkins (Jenkins drew double teams and the Packers had 9 sacks in the 1st 4 games and only 18 in the finally 12 games after he was lost), linebacker Nick Barnett (defense's play caller and leading tackler in 2007, lost for the last 7 games of 2008), and safety Atari Bigby (Bigby led the Packers in interceptions in 2007 and was 3rd in tackles) in game 2.

As a consequence of these injuries, the Packers defense in 2007 was ranked 6th and gave up 291 points and in 2008 the Packers defense was ranked 22nd and gave up 380 points

Rodgers in 2008 was near the top of the 32 starting QBs in all categories, despite playing through a severe injury to his right throwing shoulder in week 4 against Tampa Bay that limited him in practice and he played through for several games.

Statistic: 2008 total (NFL Rank)

Passing Yards: 4,038 (4)
Completions: 341 (7)
Completion %: 65.6 (10)
Touchdowns: 28 (4)
QB Rating: 93.8 (6)
20-plus yd. completions:48 (5T)
40-plus yd. completions:16 (1T)
Third-down QB rating:105.8 (3)
First downs passing:182 (9T)

Consequently, there is no grace period for Jordan in 2023.

Packers were 3 and 1 before Rodgers broke his thumb year and 13-3, 13-3 and 13-4 the 3 years prior and unless Packer management continues to rip the team apart the Packer 2023-24 team will be better than the 2021-22 Packer team every where other than maybe receiver and tight end depending on how 2022's and 2-023's draft picks work out.

In 2023, Jordan will now have had 4 years to develop. Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, and Justin Herbert, the other QBs drafted in the first round of 2020, all had to start immediately or nearly immediately in Tua's case and have now played 3 years. Jordan has had 3 years to watch and learn from the greatest NFL QB of all time.

If Jordan doesn't come close to matching Rodgers QB numbers from 2008 - adjusted upwards for changes that have made the game easier for QBs and offense - Jordan is never going to be the Packers future starting QB.

The Packers are just a year removed from 13-3, 13-3, and 13-4 seasons and if not for injuries last year and adjustments due to Packer Management's screw up of the Davante Adams situation, the Packers would have had a comparable season last year.

Barring injuries, the Packers should expect to go 13-4 and have home field advantage.
If not, it is because:

a) Jordan is failing (i.e. Brian's choice)

b) Brian has otherwise screwed up the team over the last 13-14 months.

The Packers are not some team attempting to tank in 2023 or the ridiculous Dallas Mavericks and Mark Cuban tanking in 2023 who should have their 2023 first round draft pick taken away.

If you look at the year by year 2000 through 2022 NFL statistics for total QB performance - from Statsmuse - totals for all 32 teams quarterbacks - you will notice that quarterback performance numbers have improved significantly.
This improvement in QB numbers is in no small measure due to the continuous rule changes to protect quarterbacks and create more offense and scoring.

If you compare 2008 totals for all QBs - Aaron's 1st year as a starter - to 2022's totals for all QBs, you will notice the following:

Passer Rating - has increased 7.1% (Aaron's 93.8% in 2008 would have been 100.4% in 2022)

Pass Attempts per season has increased 9.3% (Aaron's 536 in 2008 would have been 586 in 2022)

Completion Pct. - has increased 5.2% (Aaron's 63.6% in 2008 would have been 66.9% in 2022)

Yards per Attempt - has increased 1.4% (Aaron's 7.5% in 2008 would have been 7.6% in 2022)

Yards per Game - has increased 4.5% (Aaron's 252.4 or 4,038 yards over 16 games in 2008 would have been 263.88 or 4,486 yards over 17 games in 2022)
TD% per pass attempt - has increased 7.6% (Aaron's 5.2 % in 2008 and 28 TD passes would have been 5.6% in 2022 and 32.5 TD passes in 2022)
Interception % per pass attempt: has fallen 17.1% (Aaron's 2.4% in 2008 would have been 1.9% in 2022)

Interceptions: have fallen by 10.2% (Aaron's 13 in 2008 would have fallen to 11.6 in 2022)

Green and Gold and everyone, keep these numbers handy as we compare Jordan in his 4th year relative to Aaron in his 4th year if this Ignorant, emotion based Packer Management (Brian and Mark) trade goes through.

-5 points
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7
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:54 am

I have never seen such rubbish.

As a big Rodgers booster back then I can’t even recognize what you cobble together as pseudo fact. That’s without even addressing the myriad questionable assumptions about him now or the rank distortions with respect to Love.

Actually, I have seen such rubbish. You post it every day in a cut and paste hodgepodge of some form.

STOP. This is spam!

GG, one of the problems with Johnston is that he struggles off the line a lot. He’s a slow starter. He doesn’t have quick feet. He’s probably faster than many from 30-60 from film—hence his deep success. He’s also from a limited route tree O, so a learning curve there.

He could actually be a decent deep threat, but despite his physicality, I worry about him being a great X or about his ability to be an every down player initially. He’s a 2nd rounder at best in my view—unless that 40 and his other testing is false.

Would I take him in the 3rd? Yes. Maybe mid 2nd in theory. I think he can be a good possession type who can go deep—an unusual mix, but he’s going to need to learn those routes to exploit his hands and contested catching skills. I’m not sure he helps a lot early though, so I’d pass in the second with the knowledge that I can get one of the guys with size and real speed, like Landers and a couple you mentioned, later. They also have rough edges, more in fact, but they have real speed now and are cheaper.

5 points
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BirdDogUni's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:34 am

I started reading his post and then realized I didn't check the username before I started. SMH When I realized, I scrolled a thousand miles down to rec your comment.

I was really high on Johnston in Jan. Not so much after the combine. Went back and saw some indications of his 40 time in his tape. Think he'll be a good WR in the league, just not top 10 type talent. Think he'll go late 1st round. (Rich get richer type deal.)

He could easily slide to the 2nd round (Tee Higgins).

We need to add TEs/WRs for sure, but I feel like there will be guys we can draft later that will provide the skills we need plus the ability to contribute in the run game, which is also an underrated skill, imo.

With all the young skill players we're likely to field, next season will be a learning experience for most, so it could be rough starting out, but hell, it was rough starting out last year with a 4-time MVP, so maybe the fact that Love will be present and willing to get with our young talent might actually make the transition easier than we expect? IDK. Should at least be an interesting draft, OTAs, and TC. Getting my Orville Redenbacher ready...

2 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:25 pm

Johnson ran a 4.49 at his pro day. Allowing for the standard boost, he really confirmed that he’s a 4.5 guy. He ran agility drills, but I can’t find them.

At this point I think he could, if he can learn the route tree, be a very good possession guy who can break tackles and run long deep routes where he isn’t held up at the line and it’s post 20 yard speed that counts. I don’t think he will ever be a classic NFL X who puts up big numbers on the perimeter.

It’s worth noting that he did run faster than JSN at his pro day. JSN ran an unofficial 5.7, which I’d regard as .2 or .3 light. Heck that’s not good, even for a guy whose game is quick feet and suddenness. Adams ran a 4.47 at the combine, by comparison, as they are very similar types.

How does one value that? In my book neither are first rounders! That leaves the small slot types of Flowers, Addison ( think Amari) and Hyatt as commonly cited candidates—none of whom I’d take and none of whom fit our biggest needs. Could be a no WR first round this year—unlikely only because I think a team overdrafts.

1 points
1
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:41 pm

Like you, I may have more confidence in some latter round WRs. Bracing myself for Gutekunst possibly making that pick.

As mentioned, young player with big potential to develop further should they make QJ the pick.

0 points
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:44 pm

This is utter garbage. You learned nothing.

I asked you in another thread. No need to completely destroy this one. Too. FFS.

Quit hopping your voluminous BS all over the place.

0 points
2
2
StarrtoRodgers's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:12 pm

G&G, it is too bad you just cannot handle the truth.

As just one of many simple examples, you made this statement:

G&G: "Jordan Love, the most efficient and accurate QB in all of college football in 2018."

There are no facts to support this statement.

Jordan Love ranked 34th in completion percentage in 2018 with a completion average of 64% playing against inferior competition (i. e. just 1 Power Five conference team).

Future NFL Qbs like Gardner Minshew 70.7%, Kyler Murray 69%, Tua Tagovailoa 69%, Brett Rypien 67.3%, Brock Purdy 66.4%, Zach Wilson 65.9%, Trevor Lawrence 65.2%, Sam Ehlinger 64.7%, Tyler Huntley 64.1% AND 24 OTHER College QBs all had higher completion/accuracy percentages than Jordan.

See ESPN College Football States 2018 season or Sports Reference 2018 Passing.

IGG if you are going to make statements, which have no basis in truth/fact, you are going to be called on it.

All my fellow Packer fan friends who have watched the Packers each week since the 60s will be cheering for Jordan Love and the Packers should this GM ego and emotion driven ignorant trade go through, but TRUTH AND REALITY IS TRUTH AND REALITY

-2 points
3
5
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:22 pm

“TRUTH AND REALITY IS TRUTH AND REALITY”

Absolutely nothing of either is present in the above when viewed as a whole. Not this time, not the last 50.

2 points
4
2
dobber's picture

April 15, 2023 at 10:25 am

We all choose our "reality"...
We all choose our "truth".

-1 points
0
1
mnbadger's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:08 pm

Is this available in paperback?
GPG!

3 points
3
0
dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:29 am

I come back to the fact that no one can name the last TCU WR who was a difference-maker in the NFL, drafted in ANY round, much less the first.

I know, I know, people will say history isn't the great predictor for current prospects--but it shouldn't be ignored, either.

...and if people want to keep harping on BG's 3rd round problems, I'll harp on TCU WRs... ;)

2 points
2
0
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:47 am

Like Tedford QBs?

Couldn’t resist but it is worth saying that there is no absolute rule.

3 points
3
0
dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:22 pm

That's a winner!

0 points
0
0
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:29 pm

Like Rodgers??? LOL.

0 points
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:30 pm

You're not wrong!!! I know, I've had that thought many times myself...

0 points
0
0
RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:57 am

I agree about WR. Which is why I think they take 2 possibly a 3rd in the 7th round.
I think they will take 2 TE's as well.

As for Rhyan. Something to consider with him as well. He was an OT in college. It sometimes takes players a bit of time to learn a new position. I'm curious to see what he looks like this training camp. He could simply be a bust, but he could be a guy that really emerges.

0 points
0
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:39 pm

I am with you Cold. If we don't find a trade partner to move back from #15, I would pick Washington or Mayer to be immediate starters and quality contributors. I don't want to pick @ 15 when we have so many needs and an extra 2nd rounder would really help get another starter. The Edge position group is strong in this draft and I am confident we can get a good one in the 2nd, and another later (Maybe YaYa).

I think we need and can get 2 WRs in 3rd, 4th, or 5th rounds. That is where they are strongest. Drafting a WR in the 1st would be a major mistake when we could get the same talent later. No to Johnston and JSN. A trade back would give us an extra 4th or 5th for an extra WR or RB too.

Unless the trade is finished before the draft, we won't know if we have players coming back from the Jets, It would be important in the draft war room if we knew we had Ruckert-TE or Mims-WR in the fold already, preferably before we started drafting.

The Jets are playing with fire here. If they are not careful the 49ers might swoop and give us #99,#101,#102 this year along with three 3rds next year plus players to get the deal done. Yeah they aren't #1s or #2s but there would still be a lot of talent at those picks available, and the trade would be done without us getting nothing for Rodgers.

I said in an earlier post if the Jets want to make sure Rodgers plays at least 2 years then make him feel wanted and shower him with enhancements. Like paying for where he lives (Like the Dakota or Trump Tower), supply him with a luxury vehicle and chauffer, give him a membership to the best country club, free eats at the best restaurants. It their problem and they should figure it out. All those things could be part of his new contract. If they impress him he will play longer.

0 points
0
0
PeteK's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:37 am

I think a pro ready versatile TE like Mayer is a must for an inexperienced QB I also like the speedy WR Derious Davis who could lineup all over the offense and create havoc on D's. I liked what Swervin Earvin brought to our offense, Davis could be more durable likeness.

1 points
1
0
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:08 am

I’m not on board with sub 5’9 & 170 pound types except maybe at a pinch as pure return/gadget players. At least he’s got speed, unlike Tank Dell. We have better, bigger and faster in Melton if you want that type. Very few of that size have ever made any impact.

2 points
3
1
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:59 am

Have to agree.

0 points
1
1
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:02 am

Pete, I'm right with you. Mayer is likely the safest, highest impact player we can draft into this Packers team. He'll be a perfect addition to this new offense. Mayer's ceiling is more like a Jason Witten - type TE, and there's nothing wrong with that.

He's surprisingly good just about everywhere, in any role asked of a TE. Able to produce at all 3 levels, and his proven deep catch ability is phenomenal.

0 points
0
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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:40 am

Meyer is going to be a good all around TE, but I don’t see him ever being a big play star. He’s a guy who can do everything but lacks any athletic trait to be a difference level against NFL athletes.

Meyer is a high floor low ceiling archetype. He’s a classic All second team candidate—sort of a (better) Jake Kumerow. Excels against lesser athletes where his tools can shine.

Is there a real value in him for the Packers? Yes, but not as an offensive difference maker in splash play terms. He’s the guy who keeps drives going and does the less glamorous work. He won’t be a plus blocker or consistent big play threat. We could use that.

But those guys should come much later than the first round. He’s a third rounder, maybe late 2nd in my book. Some team will over him probably. They might get a good player for years, but not what most here seem to hope for.

If Meyer drops then him plus one of the move types and we could actually come out well ahead as an overall offense, but we’d need that big play guy to make the position a weapon again, not just Myers.

1 points
2
1
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:07 pm

LOL. You know I want Darnell Washington instead - but open to a Mayer pick that is also highly proficient in terms of his ND numbers.

I think Washington has the higher ceiling, and I also don't buy any of this R2 garbage with him. He should be our pick. That young gentleman is going to open up a can o whoopass on this NFL.

1 points
1
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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:42 pm

Washington has a much lower floor (basically as a blocker), but if that speed at his side can be harnessed and isn’t purely linear as some feel, then yes, he could be a generational player. I think a good offensive mind can use that linear size/speed mix immediately, while he develops.

1 points
1
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:57 pm

Exactly. That's why he's been my favorite pick all along. His real value is much higher than all the DIC stuff.

When Athlon made him #19 overall, published way before the Combine... I listened.

1 points
1
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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:37 pm

If I could draft in a sand box I might end up with both Washington and Kincaid. TE and WR solved till mid round size/speedster. Only an edge and maybe a DL seem likely to sway me.

0 points
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golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:07 pm

Jake Kumerow? Really? Thats your comparison? I would probably give Mayer a little more credit than that. He had WR catch numbers in college playing against the best competition. He freaking catches anything within 5 feet especially if contested.

I absolutely hate the idea of not trading back @ #15 for more picks. But if we did pick @ #15, Mayer or Washington would be immediate starter/big contributors in Green Bays offense. Which is a must if you pick someone in the first round. Either of them would be chain movers and Red Zone monsters. And either would help Love and the Packers the most of anyone we picked. If the offense stays on the field longer and scores more points, how much better does that make the defense? Fresher=Better!

It would suck if we missed an opportunity to trade back for more picks, especially when we could still pick from 4 of the top 5 TEs in this draft. Our biggest need.

3 points
3
0
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:26 pm

The word “better” escapes you? The comparison was not of overall merit, but to illustrate the fact that doing everything well doesn’t necessarily translate.

0 points
1
1
Guam's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:38 am

I'm not a fan of drafting an OT at #1 since they already have Bahk, Nijman and Tom at that position. Yes, this may be Bahk's last year, but the Packers also have Walker and Jones as developmental tackle prospects and unless the FO believes they are both busts, drafting an OT would leave the Packers overstocked at OT and bereft at WR and TE.

The TE room is nearly vacant and the WR room is thin. I would much rather see Gute move back from #15 into the mid-20's and draft one of the talented TE prospects as their #1 as well as pickup an additional #2 or #3 to use on a WR. Gute needs to restock both receiving rooms.

5 points
5
0
dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:04 am

I think they need to get an OT prospect in the first two days of the draft, and one more OL prior to the drought in round 6. Heck--I'd love to see this team shift to more of a power-gap run game, but it ain't going to happen.

They have 2 game-tested OT-only guys (Nijman and Bakhtiari), and it could be that neither is back in 2024. At one point, it looked like Jenkins might be tabbed as an OT of the future, but in recovering from his knee he looked much more like a G/C. Tom is still young and has shown promise, but doesn't have a long track record--and they might want him to play somewhere else.

After that, they've got a mish-mash of UDFAs/street FAs and a round 7 OT. I'm not going to count on those guys--not yet--and the coaches (who brought us such stellar moves as Billy Turner at LT in the playoffs in his first game back from injury, and Hanson/Newman on the right side) need to be frank and honest about what those guys can do. I would never label a 7th round flier or UDFA a bust.

Runyan is in his contract year, and Meyers has been up and down. There are plenty of potential moving parts on this OL, and it needs to be rock solid.

2 points
2
0
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:32 am

Tom has proven capable. Nijman will have had an off season at RT. Jenkins will be one year further removed from his injury, and is paid as a T based in performance prior to that.

I also do not discount Walker. He was a guy who was projected as a first rounder before a shocking regression in his last year. Jones is a guy who looks nothing like the player everyone expected at 400 pounds plus (true admitted weight in season-he was listed at 367). He was consistently much quicker of foot and mobile last summer than he looked in college film.

I have to say that sometimes, play counts more than how one gets the player. I don’t write either off. Personally I think Tenuta is a G in a tackle’s body. He’s got the nastiness of a guard, but seemed and was scouted as being, less laterally mobile than Walker or Jones (redux). If a 6’8 guy can play G then I’d love it to be him. Otherwise back up RT is the ceiling I see.

Out of Jones, Walker and Tenuta, I think we have enough depth when added to Jenkins and Nijman and Tom, even without Bakh. Take a developmental guy, add some competition at C/G. Behind Runyon, we have only questions. Myers has yet to prove himself at C. Push him. I’m not convinced he will be better at G.

Bakh/Jenkins/Tom/Runyon/Nijman is my ideal starting line. Tom/Jenkins/Myers/Runyon/Nijman if Bakh disappears with Jones and Walker available as back up Ts. I’m Ok with that.

I’m still more worried by Hansen and Newman behind the G/Cs. Rhyan is a possible, but not guaranteed, “pick” to help at G, but I’m not comfortable relying on that and I don’t have faith in Hansen at C or G at this point.

0 points
1
1
Guam's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:55 am

The key issue Dobber is how the FO evaluates Walker and Jones. As I noted in my post, if both are busts (i.e. can't play in the NFL), then the FO needs to draft an OT high. If one or both turn into credible NFL tackles, then the Packers are fairly deep at OT. I'm in no position to make that evaluation. As ColdWorld noted, both Walker and Jones have potential, but as fans we really don't know what the Packer FO is seeing from these young guys. What the Packers do in the draft will be very telling about their opinion of Walker and Jones.

I actually think the Packers may be better at OT than at the IOL. Jenkins is very good, Runyan is average and Myers is a bit questionable. The depth behind those three are Hanson, Rhyan, Newman and maybe Tenuta. Yikes....... I do expect the Packers to address IOL in the later rounds of the draft.

1 points
1
0
dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:10 pm

I think your first paragraph is they key: what they think of those guys will set how they approach this draft. We just don't know, but we'll learn about what they think pretty early on!

We have to think about what it will cost to re-up the likes of Nijman and Runyan, and whether the Packers are willing (or able) to pony up that cash. My guess is that they already have a tentative plan in place for how they hope to address that.

2 points
2
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:22 pm

Exactly Guam. That is the most prudent stategy. We should be laying the groundwork right now with other teams picking behind us in the first round and early second. We need more early picks and trading back once gets us two more in the first 4 rounds. Thats another 2 really good players, maybe even doubling up.

We really don't have a TE room at this point. I have hope for Austin Allen but he would be borderline top 10-12 this year. He could be a red zone strength for sure.

Whether us fans want to admit it or not, we will have a tough time winning 8 games this year. So I am not for using a high pick on an Offensive Lineman who will sit this year anyway. Green Bay has done so well picking O-Line prospects in later rounds, why deviate from that plan? This year will probably be a roller coaster, so Green Bay NEEDS to spend their picks wisely and rebuild the position groups that are empty or that need it the most. O-line is not one of those weak groups. Pick the best players at positions that will help the team the most, now.

3 points
3
0
TarynsEyes's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:26 pm

"but Patrick Mahomes would have a hard time with the current group."

A most asinine statement.

Love is nowhere near the talent of Mahomes, regardless of the WR group at each one's disposal.

Mahomes would do more with less, than Love would do with more.

And yes, even with Andy Reid out of the scenario, which should give Love a huge advantage.

4 points
4
0
TarynsEyes's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:26 pm

Deleted double

2 points
2
0
PackEyedOptimist's picture

April 14, 2023 at 06:50 am

"Where players were drafted" is inconsequential; what matters is what part of your team needs boosting. When you pick up Pro-Bowl RB in round 5, an All-Pro LOT in round 4, etc. you don't NEED to use your high picks "on offense." The whole argument of "No 1st round receivers for Rodgers" is a false flag.

This year, there is NEED for a TE (or two) and another WR. Now, there is also NEED for a DL (or two) and another ED, and a S (or two), but DL and S are both weak areas in this draft; the odds that a DL or S is BPA at the Packers' time of drafting is pretty low. As a result, the likely high selections will be at TE and EDGE.

I'm also not sold on the OL choices in the first and second round; I think my BPA at OL would most likely coincide in middle rounds.

10 points
12
2
Packers2020's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:48 am

To me, it is not just about 1st rounders. It is about not adding enough talent and depth at WR and TE the last 9 years. It is also about drafting all these defensive players and see over 50% of them not be difference makers on defense.

Honestly, this is why IMHO you never draft for need unless you are 1 player away from a SB. And even then, you can try to add a free agent to put you over the top. You always draft for BPA.

0 points
0
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:29 pm

I will amend that to Best Player Available ONLY At A Position You Need The Most.

Plus, although it shouldn't ever come into play, Green Bay has a huge salary cap problem this year and another benefit of trading back means you are getting more good players for less money. That definitely has to be part of our draft strategy this year.

-1 points
0
1
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:52 am

PEO, I could very easily see Gutekunst going in any number of directions. I also think he's going to have a historically large pile of picks to play with.

Gutekunst taking S Brian Branch at 13 and EDGE Nolan Smith at 15 is something I've been planning for.

If we somehow don't acquire #13, I could still see Gutekunst taking Branch or Smith there. Just as easily as I could see him take QJ or MM or JSN or OT Broderick Jones or OG O'Cyrus Torrence or Lucas Van Ness...

His options are wide open.

I think the pick count will be high because AR won't trust rookies up front, Bak sounds like he's already out the door, leaving NYJ with at least 3 more OL holes to fill with starters. We're trading multiple OL along with AR.

-1 points
0
1
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:54 pm

Green, haven't most draft experts said that Branch doesn't fit the safety role/need that Green Bay has? I have read that his teammate Battle is a better fit for our need. I would rather have Battle, Johnson, or Skinner for the first safety we choose, and not at #15. End of 2nd or early 3rd. Saving those early picks for the biggest needs, TE and Edge.

We could get a Branch type of safety later choosing from, Anthony Johnson, Gervarrious Owens, Jason Taylor, Daniel Scott, or really late help in Kaevon Meriweather.

I would be thrilled if we got one of Battle, Johnson, Skinner with our first Safety taken and then follow up with more of a ball-hawk who has interception skills as well as tackling skills. Taylor and Scott fill that hole, and with later picks.

I am still hoping you are right about #13 but I will be ok with #42 & #43 along with 2024 conditional pick and extra players: Ruckert, Mims, And Ashtyn Davis.

0 points
0
0
PackEyedOptimist's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:01 am

Another angle/point I'd like to raise is this: Picking several players at the same position in the same draft is a double-edged sword. Picking three receivers (WR/TE) in one year increases your odds of "hitting" on one, BUT if you have all three make the team, you set yourself up for a problem in four years. It happened with losing MVS and ESB in the same year, and was exacerbated (tremendously) by that being the year that Davante ALSO left. I worry a little about that with Watson, Doubs, and Toure's contracts all ending in the same year.

3 points
5
2
stockholder's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:20 am

We have a Need. But I'll take it in rd 7.
Instead of drafting it earlier.

2 points
2
0
jannes bjornson's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:10 am

He will need to get into round six. Can this guy use 2024 picks to maneuver for effective depth pieces ?

-2 points
0
2
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:11 am

I'm as happy with some Day 3 picks going into R7 as I am with options Day 1 & Day 2 at WR.

Totally agree.

There's value in them thar hills!!! A pile 'o riches!

PEO, that's something to worry about later. Get your guys now.

0 points
0
0
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:21 am

In normal cap circumstances that can be managed. Also, if one or two really prove themselves, they likely are extended during their first contracts. I agree that, ideally, we want a rolling intake and development, but in practice, improving our cap is the solution, if we are lucky enough to have to address that problem.

0 points
0
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:00 pm

You are right Cold. That would be a good problem to have. It means we drafted well at the time. Average/good NFL WR are going to get 7 to 10 million a year. If we can't resign them all we are going to get higher comp picks in return to draft some more. As much as I hate the salary cap with the problems Green Bay has right now, you have to admit the NFL salary cap works.

1 points
1
0
dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:37 am

FIrst off, ESB was--and is--a JAG. No loss.

I think the concentration of draft picks is less of a problem due to the high failure rate of pass-catchers in general. WR is the 3rd most drafted position over the last 10 years of the draft--lots of position spots, lots of turnover. So I don't worry about a bunch of them coming up for big contracts at the same time.

I don't think Bo Melton is any more than a ST'er/bottom-of-the-roster guy. I don't think Toure is likely to be much more than a 4th WR type. They need pass-catchers. I worry more about the needs you DON'T service when you concentrate picks like that, and the Packers have plenty.

2 points
2
0
Oppy's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:08 am

I would be pretty surprised if the Packers went WR/TE/RB in the first round. Maybe if they somehow ended up with a pair of 1st round selections, but I don't see that happening.

5 points
5
0
RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:31 am

I can see WR or TE. I would be pretty shocked if they went RB in the 1st round. I can see them drafting a RB this year, just not the first round.

3 points
3
0
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:11 am

There is not a single WR I’d take in round one. Maybe a TE if we trade back. We won’t take Bijan unless no one will trade up for him.

3 points
3
0
RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:03 am

You maybe wouldn't. But the Packers definitely could.

Right now its pretty consistent that most view Johnston, Smith-Njigba as first round locks. Others will add Flowers and Addison to the mix.

For TE, Kincaid, Mayer, Washington have all been mocked to potentially go in the first.

For me Ideally I'd love to trade down, and gain an extra 2nd or 3rd round pick.

1 points
2
1
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:50 pm

I form my own opinion. I am aware that others have JSN and slot guys like Flowers/Addison going in the first. It only takes one GM. Personally, if they do, so be it, just hopefully we are not the ones who do.

My preferred route, absent a shock drop, is to trade down too. I’d take Kincaid or Washington, potentially, late in round one or a defensive player. I’d also potentially trade out of it again if it got me an additional pick in the top 100 and the board looked friendly.

1 points
1
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:17 pm

I will agree again Cold. The players you mentioned are exactly the type that NFL teams fall in love with and since they are in Got To Have Them mode, they look to trade up. If you are a top 10 team that might work. We are not a top 18 team right now. Think the Saints a couple of years ago. Who saw that coming?

I know you need to have a trade partner to be able to move back but your trade back scenario really makes sense for a team with a lot of holes to fill. Trading back twice probably nets 4 to 5 early picks in the top 5 rounds where we could really make some hay. The reload would be full blown with that many early opportunities. I am keeping my fingers crossed that your strategy works out.

I would say if we had to pick at #15, I would also take a TE, but I now lean toward Washington or Mayer. I love Kinkaid but the back injury is an unnecessary risk we can't afford to take. That could come back and be a career ender. I wouldn't care if he was a worse blocker than other TEs if he caught 75 passes. Thats more important to me. But honestly this whole class of TEs this year catches the ball great. So we can't miss.

0 points
0
0
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 05:19 pm

Kincaid, for me, is a glorified WR. I don’t take that back issue lightly, but I do take out medical staff seriously. If he’s not off our board completely, I think he will be fine. That said, I see him as a late 1st at best.

If I have to pick at 15, and there isn’t an edge or DL I like and I have to go O, I’d roll the dice on Washington too. Worst case he’s a red zone guy who can block.

1 points
1
0
Packers2020's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:49 am

I agree.

I can actually see them drafting an OLB or a CB in the first round to be honest.

2 points
2
0
dobber's picture

April 15, 2023 at 10:24 am

I might argue that is way more likely than a TE or WR.

0 points
0
0
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:17 am

Hey Oppy, I could easily see Gutekunst doing just that. Any of those three. Johnston or JSN, Mayer or Bijan. Hell, maybe he likes Addison the best of those 3 WRs...

We have to remember Gutekunst is thinking years out, and already has a board set up for 2024, knowing fully the WR, TE and RB talents to be had there.

It may or may not be my first choice either, but, I could see it happening quite easily.

1 points
1
0
Oppy's picture

April 14, 2023 at 04:59 pm

I think the Packers pay attention to analytics. I don't think they let analytics rule their decisions, but I think they do believe in playing to the numbers as the rule and only in rare occasions buck the data and go the other route.

So called "offensive skill positions" taken in the first round are statistically more apt to bust than bloom by a pretty wide margin. They're risky picks. Now, there's a lot of wiggle room in "why" that is- I think a good deal of it has to do with the mentality that GMs feel the need to swing for the fences in the first round- but none the less, I think the Packers tend to shy away from WR TE and RB in the first. If the Packers go offense in the first, I'd be more likely to say it would be OL. Who knows, though. It really doesn't matter to me so long as they get a guy they believe is a big time player.

0 points
0
0
dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:40 am

Exactly. They might treat a second #1 as found money, but I don't see them burning a sole #1 on a WR/TE/RB, and probably not an S. The years where they drafted a non-money guy in the first round (Savage at S, Walker at ILB) they had a second pick they used on a money position (Gary at OLB, Wyatt at DL).

1 points
1
0
stockholder's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:11 am

Eight of the first 12 are offensive.
So- I’m sure one could drop, that the packers like.
But DO THEY BELONG IN THE TOP 12?
When you point to the Defensive Players.
Keep in mind where the packers were selecting.
And several were outside the Top 30 at the time.
Showing the packers believe in “Need"; more than BPA.
I often thought the packers took a lesser value, on purpose.
Especially when it came to re- negotiations on contracts.
And that proper "fit“; meant they got lesser value per rankings.
But thats the play of the draft. Restocking! A GM being a Guru.

Locking in on Offense is a bad GM move.
So expect it.
Because this GM wants to prove his greatness.
That he can replace even a MVP legend.

And when you consider who he could have taken.
Your heart will only break; because winning No longer matters.

-4 points
5
9
Oppy's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:29 am

You twats who think a GM doing his job and attempting to do whatever he believes is in the best interests of the long-term health of the team equates to an ego-maniacal power grab never cease to amaze me.

According to your own narrative, I guess GMs are supposed to strive for mediocrity at all costs to avoid being great? Because.. you know... If a GM is trying to prove he's great at his job, that's a bad thing.

Here's the situation, Stockholder. The 40 year old is out. The Green Bay Packers continue to exist and move forward. COPE.

2 points
8
6
stockholder's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:54 am

No - I just think it's a sham; how a 40 year old Qb
Was destined to fail.
Because he didn't have enough weapons last year.
Yet- that is the bitch this draft. Even a OT.
And he had to make the most of the players let go.
Sure- put up numbers so the Defense wouldn't fail.
Yet- Gutey couldn't Cope when he took Love.

0 points
3
3
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:29 pm

Stock, have you ever considered the FO thought Rodgers was good enough to overcome the fact that Green Bay didn't have the strongest players around him on offense. You have to admit our offense was hard to stop for a lot of years. Rodgers did pretty well with what he had. The draft is a crapshoot most years anyway.

I also think the front office never imagined Rodgers would turn into such a me first team second, major Douche Bag. Sorry, I won't miss him. It's past time to move on.

0 points
0
0
Oppy's picture

April 14, 2023 at 05:05 pm

It will be interesting to see how you react when the offense is better in 2023 than it was in 2022 with virtually the same talent on offense at the skill positions.

And trust me, that's what is going to happen. There is going to be a whole lot of people making a lot of excuses about why the offense is better with Love than it was with Rodgers, even though it'll be roughly the same guys on the field.

2 points
2
0
dobber's picture

April 15, 2023 at 10:28 am

...or even if the offense is statistically about the same.

0 points
0
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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

April 16, 2023 at 05:28 am

The names might be similar or even the same, but there is always context. I expect Watson will play better than he did as a rookie. Not only will he be better in the same 507 snaps he played as a rookie, but he is likely to play over 1,000 snaps.

Doubs is likely to play better than he did in his 529 snaps as a rookie. And he, too, is likely to play 1,000 snaps.

Jenkins really struggled in the first half of the season. I expect him to be better.

Bakh played just 597 snaps. One might expect a full season of elite LT play out of him. [I expect a trade in week 8 at the trade deadline, myself.]

Not sure what to expect from Zach Tom, but after his 498 snaps as a rookie, I could envision improved play from him and a lot more snaps.

I am not a fan of the Myers pick, but he missed much of his rookie year. Perhaps the light comes on for him in his second full-time year. I am not sure what Runyan's problem was in the early part of the year, but he got them sorted over the course of the season, so perhaps we shall see continuous quality play out of him in 2023.

We shall see what the draft brings on the offensive side of the ball.

0 points
0
0
TKWorldWide's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:18 am

In 1990, I think you have linebacker Tony Bennett mixed up with running back Michael Bennett.

Management takes a lot of deserved heat for the heavy emphasis and heavy miss rate on defensive players.

But another issue is how to “build around a QB”.
I would argue that just about ANY improvement to the team overall helps the QB: good defense helps, strong pass pro helps, effective running game helps, weapons in the passing game help, and solid special teams help.

What hurts is boatloads of draft busts, backup tight ends who don’t carry out their assignments on onside kicks, and poor cap management.

6 points
6
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jannes bjornson's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:30 am

That's why the FO operatives were all given Contract extensions.

-2 points
0
2
Oppy's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:31 am

Don't forget a bad case of scurvy.

2 points
2
0
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:20 am

Oof! You had to go there!

Bostick. Fuck. Visions of Alonzo Hightower screaming at Ted, "No! He'll kill your team!" running through my head rn.

3 points
3
0
TKWorldWide's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:13 pm

I know.
But what i am really referring to is that ANYTHING can derail a team in the playoffs.
They were ONE GAME away from the Super Bowl, and look what happened.
Look at what we do: we analyze the team’s offense, defense, and special teams and come up with projections and expectations.
Hard to believe that ANYONE looked at that year’s team and said, “Yeah, they’re solid across the board, but I think their onside kick return team will be their undoing.”
I know people love the “all in” mindset, and David Stearns took a lot of abuse over his “more bites at the apple” remark last year with the Brewers, but MAYBE that is a more realistic view. GB has had LOTS of bites at the apple but only captured the ultimate prize twice in the last 30 years.
My takeaway from all that is: Winning the SB is damn hard!

2 points
2
0
dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:42 am

"In 1990, I think you have linebacker Tony Bennett mixed up with running back Michael Bennett."

He does a great "Moon River".

1 points
1
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T7Steve's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:21 am

We need help at safety, but no safety will help if the pass and run stopping in front of him isn't stronger than it's been. We know we need help on the edge, but it wouldn't hurt to get some depth at ILB too (maybe a big safety that can move up on running plays?). We seem to have enough major holes on O and D that no matter where they are drafting, whoever's the BPA will fill a need.

0 points
1
1
jannes bjornson's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:31 am

Tariq Carpenter is already on this squad.

5 points
6
1
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:38 am

But is he a S? I honestly don’t see him covering as Barry asks. He ran a 4.52 at his pro day, which is pretty impressive for his size, 6’2, 230. It’s pretty unimpressive for a S though. Branch ran a 4.58 at the combine and that has upset his prospects despite all the film.

Carpenter also has poor short area agility and burst for a S. He’s really going to struggle to cover in zone and off zone particularly—his strengths fit tight coverage—size and leaping, not sudden direction changes and agility.

Carpenter in a Pettine system hybrid, or even in the one Barry ran in his first year before going to 2 ILBs as the default made sense. Right now I can’t see him fitting as Barry uses his starters. As a third S maybe, but he will have to beat out Ford.

2 points
2
0
jannes bjornson's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:29 pm

Correct, remove Barry, not the Players.

1 points
1
0
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 05:04 pm

There seems to be a LaFleur in the way.

1 points
1
0
Packitin's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:41 am

I think that Tony Bennett (an Outside Linebacker/Pass-Rusher in both College and the NFL) would be surprised to find himself categorized as a 'Running Back', or 'skill-position player'.

3 points
3
0
T7Steve's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:49 am

We're a tough crowd today. I'm laughing about that.

1 points
1
0
RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:47 am

I am fully expecting GB to be an all offensive draft with a few defensive players. For multiple reasons. First is to give Love as much talent as they possibly can. They will want to surround him with talent to grow together. But also I feel like this will be the Packers final FU to Rodgers.

But I can say its kind of a shame that they didn't spend more resources trying to surround Rodgers with more talent, rather then putting everything on his shoulders. They gave him the talent when he was young. But after drafting Cobb in 2011 they only drafted a WR in the 2nd round 2 more times. 2014 and 2022.

Since 2012 they have had 101 draft picks. Out of those 101 draft picks they have spent 51 picks on offense and 49 picks on defense and 1 on special teams. That may come as a surprise that they actually spent more draft picks on Offense compared to Defense. However when you break it down farther and go by premium picks it really starts to change. I consider premium picks as first 2 days of the draft, rounds 1-3. Since 2012 the Packers have drafted 14 offensive players and 21 defensive players. From 2012 to 2018 they drafted 5 offensive players compared to 16 defensive players. Since 2019 it switched a bit and they drafted 9 offensive players compared to 5 defensive players in those rounds. But from 2012 to 2019 they had only spent 5 draft picks on offensive players in rounds 1-3. Simply not enough!

To break this down a bit farther, this is the per round offensive vs defensive players.
Round 1 - 1 Off, 11 Def
Round 2 - 7 Off, 6 Def
Round 3 - 6 Off, 4 Def
Round 4 - 8 Off, 7 Def
Round 5 - 8 Off, 8 Def
Round 6 - 10 Off, 5 Def
Round 7 - 11 Off, 8 Def

Clearly the biggest standout is round 1. The rest of the picks were fairly even.

The year Rodgers took over as the starter they had 9 draft picks that year. They drafted 7 offensive players and 2 defensive players. I would not be surprised if they did something very similar this year.

1 points
3
2
T7Steve's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:53 am

"The year Rodgers took over as the starter they had 9 draft picks that year. They drafted 9 offensive players and 2 defensive players. I would not be surprised if they did something very similar this year."

Is that the new math they're teaching in schools now? LOL.

1 points
1
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RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:10 am

lol. I caught it and fixed it.

Didn't you know 2 + 2 = 7

2 points
2
0
dobber's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:47 am

My students assert that regularly on their exams.

3 points
3
0
RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:15 am

I'm not surprised.

1 points
1
0
jannes bjornson's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:04 am

They have NO Choice. The cupboard is near empty. The only defensive picks I would prioritize early on in this draft is Edge, or CB if a blue chip falls in rd one. Not very optimistic the brain trust will leverage the boatload of "expected" picks from the J-e-t-s. Take the move down from #15 into the 20's, if the offer brings another two pick. I wouldn't move from the spot for an additional three pick.

5 points
5
0
RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:16 am

Completely agree. They have to draft Offense.

For Defense they honestly can probably get by with what they have at all positions. DL would be the biggest weakness with only have 3 guys with experience. Edge they resigned Hollins to add to what they had at the end of the year, and Gary will return sometime. LB they are good with. CB they are overall good with who they have with Nixon and Stokes coming back at somepoint. S, they probably could get by with who they have. Ford played well when he was on the field. Moore could surprise as could Carpenter.

If they were to draft 3 guys on defense this year I would say DL, Edge, and S.

3 points
3
0
HawkPacker's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:18 am

I would agree except for the CB. I would rather have a DL than a CB but I agree with everything else you stated!

2 points
2
0
jannes bjornson's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:26 am

Douglas and Stokes ain't making it vs. The Williams, Jeffersons, Wilsons, Olaves coming down the road...If Porter, Jr falls I would bag him. They can get Mustipher later on for a NT. DTs from round four always show up. Zach Harrison in rd three.

1 points
2
1
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 09:46 am

We really need more than one DL, unless you think Slayton is going to break out. We have Clark, then two establishing but not yet established in Slaton and Wyatt and then Slayton and Ford. That’s pretty thin not just in proven talent but mere numbers. We may be able to get a reasonable price vet in the summer, but still we could easily justify taking 2.

1 points
1
0
coolhand's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:17 pm

The FO could surround Rodgers with all the talent they could afford, but he would ignore them or not see them open when it really mattered.

0 points
1
1
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:00 am

I’m so glad you went here, Bruce. Could easily see Gutekunst adding a JSN/Mayer pairing up top.

Guessing we’ll have a bunch of picks to play with. If that happens, winning should result in 2023, and we may not be picking this high again for years.

It’s probably not what I would do, but, Gutekunst? We can only guess.

-4 points
1
5
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:48 pm

Might be a way to keep us as slow as last year.

0 points
0
0
mrtundra's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:01 am

The WR room is pretty empty. That room looks full compared to the TE room. I look for the Packers to draft 2-3 TEs and 2-3 WRs this draft. Some of those WRs GB drafts can be Returners, as well. Tre Tucker, WR Cincy, Derius Davis, WR TCU or Nikko Remigio, WR Fresno State, can all return the ball and be weapons on offense, for Love. All can be had in the later rounds. It would be nice to have a solid back up for Keisean Nixon. One of these guys could, IMO, do that. Keisean expressed an interest in trying out for the Slot Receiver spot, on this squad. One of these guys, if drafted, may allow Nixon to get his wish, but I doubt the Packers will move Nixon to Slot. He has a home as a Returner, on this squad.

0 points
2
2
Since&#039;61's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:01 am

First I would trade down out the #15 slot if I were the Packers. Assuming the Packers get a 2nd round pick from the Jets that would give the Packers 3 second round picks plus a late 1st rounder after trading down from #15. The Packers need an Edge player from this draft and Edge is the highest value position among the numerous position groups the Packers need to build up. Therefore if I were the Packers I would take the best available Edge player with the first pick.
Second and 3rd picks I would look to select a WR and a TE depending on the best available at their respective positions at that time. Fourth pick I would select a DL.

After that the draft becomes a crap shoot but for depth at least the Packers need to select at least one safety, an OL, RB and CB from among their remaining 6 or 7 picks. They can also add a QB and a Kicker if their board still includes players from those positions available. I'll expect plenty of Gute's usual wheeling and dealing to try to improve the Packers overall draft position so the total number of selections may be less than the 10/11 they begin the draft with.

I'm totally ambivalent about who the Packers select since I haven't seen any of them play but over the decades I've seen first round picks completely bust, such as Tony Mandarich, and late round picks, like Bart Starr, achieve HOF immortality. When the draft is over I'll just look up their selections in my handy CHTV draft guide and see how the selected players look from there. Thanks, Since '61

4 points
5
1
RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:23 am

I am really hoping 1 of the 4 QB's falls down to 15 so a team may look to trade up for one.

For your first 4 picks. I have done a lot of mock draft simulations and that is about the best combo i have done. Edge with the first pick, TE/WR, then DL. Or Edge, TE/WR, DL, then TE/WR.

I am hoping they come out of this draft with 2 WR's, 2 TE's and possibly a mid-late round RB. RB is a sneaky need with Jones and Dillon on the ends of their contracts.

5 points
5
0
Since&#039;61's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:14 am

RC - I agree with you except that if the Packers take 2WRs and 2TEs plus our agreed upon Edge and DL that will limit the Packers opportunities to select a Safety and/or RB before the 5th round unless the Packers select a WR and TE in the 5th round or later. IMO any player selected in the 6th and 7th rounds is maybe, emphasis on maybe, not much better than signing a UDFA.

But we agree on the top four position selections whoever they may be. Less than 2 weeks away.
Thanks, Since '61

1 points
1
0
RCPackerFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:35 pm

It really depends on what the return is for Rodgers.

If they get a 2nd round pick. That improves a lot of what they can do.

IMO, they should try to trade down in the first if they can. Possibly gain another 2nd or 3rd round pick.
If they could get 1-1st round pick, 2-2nd round picks, 2-3rd round picks, 1-4th, and 2-5th round picks, they can do a lot with those. 8 picks in those rounds would allow them to take 2 WR's, 2 TE's, 1-DL, 1-OL, 1-Edge, 1 S, or however they wanted to go.
They currently have 4-7th round picks. They could find a WR or TE in that round that could potentially contribute as well.

i cant wait for the draft!

0 points
0
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:53 pm

Trading back isn't only limited to the first round. Where Green Bay is picking in the different rounds is a great spot for a team that wants to move up to trade with us. Any trade back can keep you in the same round while snagging 2 more picks. Maybe if we end up with #42 & #43 we trade back with one of the later 2nds. Thats how you win this draft by adding 2 more picks, and we still get our safety plus a RB and another TE or WR.

The premium picks to have would be the last pick or the first pick of rounds 2 thru 6, but where we are at gives teams more incentive to trade up. They still give up picks but not as expensive. We have a big hole in round 6. almost 60 picks from where we pick in 5th to the 7th. This is a year when we can't have enough picks. Trade back.

1 points
1
0
MooPack's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:09 am

I think this draft should be offensively offensive.

1 points
3
2
stockholder's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:02 am

DL and safety are the only way to greatness.

0 points
3
3
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:28 am

and CB, without knowing Stokes' prognosis... and, EDGE.

If we don't add pass rush, there's no way any of our DBs, no matter how good they are, survive.

I agree with your notion of getting more pass rush from 3T and 5T though, 100%. Just not sure if we should count on Gary's return to what he was prior to injury. Preston isn't getting younger. That leaves Enagbare & pocket lint.

3 points
3
0
stockholder's picture

April 14, 2023 at 08:03 pm

Are we building a Team?
Then CB and OT are the 1st priority.
If were ready to win a championship.
Then it's DL and Safety.

1 points
2
1
greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:51 pm

Totally agree.

O’Cyrus Torrence. Building block. DJ Turner. Ace. Julius Brents. Complement. Darnell Wright. Solid value. Steve Avila is rock solid. Carter Warren is a super value. Shorter, add an exponent.

0 points
0
0
PackyCheese500's picture

April 15, 2023 at 04:02 pm

That would be offensive to the defense but defensive of the offense

But where does special teams fit in?

1 points
1
0
Cheeseheadinseattle's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:08 am

I'll bet Aaron Rodgers would use a different word than ironic! Who holds management accountable for squandering the AR window of opportunity that is now closing? Nobody. If a Jerry Jones type owner was running the show, LaFleur would have been pressured to dump Amari Rodgers long before he did, and Joe Barry would be looking elsewhere for a job. IMO, the best player available at 15 that is a DE, DT, WR or TE should be the pick.

1 points
3
2
stockholder's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:25 am

After reading most of the Comments.
Go to the 2011 draft history.
OT-
Wr-
Rb -
They drafted two TEs too.
And now your saying Gutey can do better?
The only guy that worked out was Cobb.

0 points
2
2
Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:30 pm

I actually mostly generally agree with the optimal value, based upon our roster and this draft class, being likely to be represented by Edge, DL (not OL) and TE in the first. That’s got sod all to do with Gute, but just how our needs are and this draft appears to be though. Most of all I want an extra pick in the second though.

0 points
0
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:01 pm

One extra in 2nd and 3rd rounds would really fill most of our needs in 3 rounds. Everything else becomes gravy and bonus But I would like one in the 6th where we have none this year. You can't pick or trade back in a given round if you have no pick. Plus it seems like you can always trade for a decent player with a 6th round pick. That's what the Broncos wanted for Albert Okwuegbunan-TE last year and this year. He could help us and he is cheap. Plus he is 6'5 260lbs and ran in the 4.4s.

0 points
0
0
TheKanataThrilla's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:53 am

Is it weird that I think that it is the same people who mention Aaron not getting any first round picks at WR and creating this narrative are no doubt the same people who previously said that it was the Defense and/or Special Teams who were responsible for all of our playoff losses? Pick a side. You can't blame the Defense and then blame the team for drafting Defense to fix it.

The biggest issue being the large number of early round Defensive busts.

I don't know what our draft strategy is on players, but it seems we swing for many "low floor, but high potential ceiling" prospects hoping for the homerun instead of "high floor, but limited ceiling potential". I swear this drafting philosophy is the cause of our 3rd round jinx where we should just take the proven player with the high floor and be happy that you will most likely get yourself an eventual starter after a year or two of being a back-up.

1 points
3
2
splitpea1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:40 am

Love this comment....to complete the baseball analogy, I'd like to see Gute just try to hit the ball where it's pitched as far letting the draft come to him. The high floor picks may not be as super-athletic and sexy, but it sure beats striking out in the third round every time.

1 points
2
1
BirdDogUni's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:10 am

Sorry sh, Bijan went 10 to the Eagles.

Don't know what if any draft picks we'll get from the Jets or someone else, so just drafted our picks with no trades.

Gonzalez dropped to 15 and I could not pass on him, neither would Gutey.

Couldn't believe Washington was still there at 45 but was ecstatic he was.

Charbonnet is underrated imo, and with Dillon in the last year of his contract, we need a RB who'll be up to speed for '24 and I think he can break the 3rd round curse we seem to be experiencing.

15: R1 P15 CB Christian Gonzalez - Oregon
45: R2 P14 TE Darnell Washington - Georgia
78: R3 P15 RB Zach Charbonnet - UCLA
116: R4 P14 TE Luke Schoonmaker - Michigan
149: R5 P14 WR Bryce Ford-Wheaton - West Virginia
170: R5 P35 WR Matt Landers - Arkansas
232: R7 P15 EDGE Tavius Robinson - Mississippi
235: R7 P18 DL PJ Mustipher - Penn State
242: R7 P25 S Jason Taylor II - Oklahoma State
256: R7 P39 OT Dalton Wagner - Arkansas

2 points
2
0
stockholder's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:40 pm

Every time I do a Simulation.
Robinson is there @15.
Imo the Eagles will take him.
He is the only Offensive player
I would draft @15.- 30.
I would still take Nolan Smith./edge -or top 3.
Give me Speed on a defense that is aging!
I could see Washington.
But the TEs are very good. Safety / edge
still should be in play.

2 points
2
0
mrtundra's picture

April 15, 2023 at 07:33 am

Robinson is there at #15, in a lot of mocks I do, as well. I'm betting he gets nabbed by a team like the vikings, who may be short on RBs, this season. They'd have to move up to do it, though. I'd hate to have Robinson, running wild, in the NFC North, unless he were a Packer.

0 points
0
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:05 pm

All I can say is WOW. You get an A+ for that draft and the Packers would too from the EXPERTS.
Now if we could pick up our kicker Moody as a UDFA I would never bitch again. EVER

1 points
1
0
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:05 pm

All I can say is WOW. You get an A+ for that draft and the Packers would too from the EXPERTS.
Now if we could pick up our kicker Moody as a UDFA I would never bitch again. EVER

0 points
0
0
mrtundra's picture

April 15, 2023 at 07:39 am

I love the Gonzalez pick at 15. That could mend the CB issues we've had the past season, or two.

0 points
0
0
Lphill's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:13 am

this draft will go O lineman first round then a Safety taken too soon in the second round, book it!

-2 points
0
2
TKWorldWide's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:17 pm

I think Gute is more likely to swing for the fences and whiff than he is to reach.

1 points
2
1
golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:06 pm

Not if we can trade back.

1 points
1
0
mrtundra's picture

April 15, 2023 at 07:37 am

I'm betting the top Safeties will be mostly gone, by the 3rd Round. Drafting a guy we need may have to come in the early rounds.

0 points
0
0
StarrtoRodgers's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:28 am

"That's quite a stretch and would be an amazing twist of irony if, after ignoring skill position players in the 1st round for the entirety of Aaron Rodgers's career, they went with a skill position player in the 1st round of Jordan's inaugural season as a starter."

Bruce, if the Packers draft an offensive skill player in the first round – after never doing so for Rodgers in his 18 year tenure – it will be because the Parasitic young ego and emotion driven Packer GM - and retiring President - both who have lived off of the Miracle Worker Rodgers and owe their continued employment to him - realize that Jordan Love can’t hold a candle to Aaron Rodgers.

Brian now has no other option.

Over the past 13 months he has destroyed the offense unnecessarily.

Brian:

a) alienating Davante and MVS,

b) trading Rodgers over Brian's EMOTION, EGO AND JEALOUSY of Rodgers leadership and relationship with his teammates and public communication abilities,

and then

c) letting go of all players – young (Lazard, Tonyan) and older (Cobb, Lewis, Crosby) - that were particularly friendly with Rodgers - is needless DESTRUCTION of a 13-3, 13-3, 13-4 team that was 3-1 and was heading toward another similar 13-3 or 13-4 season before injuries struck.

Despite all this the Packer team in 2022-23 battled back behind the leadership of Rodgers, won 4 in a row, overcame the injuries and loss of Hall of Fame Adams and MVS due to Brian's use and alienation of them and came back to almost make the playoffs - if not for 5 dropped passes, an inopportune fumble by one of my favorites Aaron Jones as we are about to go up 2 scores heading into half time - for what would have been the 12th time in 15 years with Rodgers as a starter. The only other times Packers didn't make the playoffs with Aaron was 2017 when he was out most of the season and 2018 - when the Packers 3-2-1 and about to upset the 7-0 Super Bowl bound Rams in LA have the disaster of Ty Montgomery fumbling a kick off coming out of the end zone in the final 2 minutes, turning the season in the other direction and Rodgers 1st year as starter where Aaron is near the top of just about every passing category but the defense's injuries lead the Packers to surrender 100 more points than the season previous.

The cancer to the team is the current PARASTIC Packer management who LIVED OFF Rodgers for 15 years and would have been long gone if Rodgers had not been around and led the Packers to more NFC playoff appearances (11) than any other NFC team or QB, despite the Packers being the only team in the last 20 years - 2003 thru 2022 - to not have drafted a running back, wide receiver or tight end in the first round and had a top 10 defense only 3 times over 15 years relative to Brady's 12 times over the same 15 years.

And that failure in building at least a top 10 ranked defense is despite Brian having made 7 1st round picks and the 1st pick of the 2nd round - Kevin King - on defense over the last 7 years. And certainly in the final couple years where Ted Thompson was terminally ill, Brian was effectively running the show then too..
And not to mention the lack of attention to special teams until Rich Bisaccia saved Brian's ass last year by directing Brian to Bisaccia’s former players that Rich had built relationships with.

It is interesting how people here parrot the propaganda and "talking points" Packer Management feeds to them and read to them.

Rebuilding, cap hell, blah blah blah.

Like a bewildered heard of lemmings and an angry mob they drink it down.

How about doing your own independent research and making some comparisons with other teams.
The Sky is not Falling.

The Packers actually have the 4th most cap space in the NFL,

And that is including the playing $31.6 cap hit of Aaron Rodgers - one year removed from leading all 32 teams' starting QBS in passer rating, a composite of completion %, interception %, touchdowns per pass attempt, and yards per pass attempt, not once but 2 years in a row and one year removed form 2 consecutive MVPs as well!!

And the Packers have the 4th most cap space in the NFL not only in terms of first 51 players, which is all that matters until September 2023:

Bears $38.3
Panthers $27.2
Lions $24.0
Packers $22.6
Texan $22.5
Least Cap Space:
Vikings $1.1

and also 4th most cap space in the NFL in terms of total players:

Bears $27.7 (64 players signed)
Panthers $19.0M (62 players signed)
Rams $13.4M (45 players signed)
Packers $12.6M (65 players signed)
Lions $8.7M (70 players signed)
Least Cap Space
Commanders -17.2 (75 players signed)

Google 2023 salary cap by team.

Try Over the Cap or Spotrac.

The Packers are 12 months removed from 13-3, 13-3, and 13-4 seasons.

They are also the 9th youngest team in the entire NFL.

Team age:

Rams 25.91
Titans 26.15
Browns 26.25
Giants 26.24
Colts 26.24
Chiefs 26.24
Bears 26.25
Bengals 26.27
Packers 26.29
Oldest Team:
Patriots 27.59

Rebuilding, cap hell, blah blah blah.

And Packer Management is destroying the team out of ignorance and emotion and their hurt egos because their quarterback is more truthful and intelligent and communicative than they are.

In the 2028 season the Packers then 2 time MVP breaks the all time NFL record for fewest interceptions by a QB attempting 500 passes in a season

The next season the Packers then 2 time MVP once again surpasses all Quarterbacks in NFL history and finishes 2nd - behind his own 2018 record setting performance - for fewest interceptions by a Quarterback attempting 500 or more passes, with 4 interceptions.

And what does GM Brian and President Mark do following Aaron's 2nd record breaking season for protecting the football?

They draft the quarterback that in the season he has just completed led all of college football in interceptions - giving the ball away.

And they trade up in the first round giving up their 30th pick and 136th pick (4th round. Rams tight end Brycen Hopkins) to move to slot 26 to get him!!

-7 points
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stockholder's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:45 pm

Parrot the propaganda!
Absolutely!

1 points
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Leatherhead's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:36 am

""Somehow, through it all, the defense has pretty much always been what limited the team.""

Was it the defense that limited our season in 2022, when we scored 7, 9, 16 in division losses to very weak defenses?

Was it the defense that limited the 2021 season, when it held the 49ers without a TD in a playoff loss where the offense played poorly all day?

Was it the defense that limited the 2020 season, when it held Tampa to 65 yards on the ground and picked off Brady 3 times?

Once Upon A Time, A person explained to me that if you buy a person's premise, the rest of what he's saying will make sense, so you need to really look at t he underlying premise. I reject your premise here. We surrendered exactly 2 more points than the Chiefs did last year. The Packers, in 2021 and 2022 at least, had a defense that was getting the job done better than the offense. It wasn't the limiting factor.

The Packer Organization, over the years, has learned things and it's part of their culture. As regards the draft, they've learned that you can get skill position players that are very good later in the draft, and other than a franchise QB, you might as well spend your premium picks on defensive studs. That's an organizational value. It doesn't matter what I think or you think, it's what the team is.

I would also point out that we're frequently draft towards the end of the round, and that the real premium studs are gone by then, usually. This year, we're at 15. We actually might have a shot at the #1 WR on our board, which never happens. But if we take a WR, it'll be an aberration, because that's not what the organization usually does, but this might be a special circumstance.

GreenGold. I love your enthusiasm, but there's no way I can get behind your plan to put a bunch of rookies on the line in front of Love this year. For the first time in a while, we'll have six legitimate starters returning, so we can keep Newman and Hanson off the field. If Rhyan improves, and we add somebody in the draft, that'll give us 8 offensive linemen we can dress out.

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greengold's picture

April 15, 2023 at 07:51 am

Yosh, Elgton & Tom aren’t rookies. Rhyan gets to compete with a year of developing under his belt.

Aaron Jones is without a doubt a team leader. Elgton Jenkins , & Kenny Clark, maybe De’Vondre Campbell as well.

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StarrtoRodgers's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:37 am

" It would be the 3rd skill player in the 1st round since running back Tony Bennett in 1990."

Bruce, Tony Bennett - out of Mississippi - was an edge rusher linebacker taken with the Packers 1st of 2 first round picks in 1990 - he he was taken with the 18th overall pick.

Darrell Thompson - out of Minnesota - was the running back chosen in 1990 - with the next pick the 19th overall pick of the 1990 draft.

1990 is the last time the Packers selected a running back in the first round.

1 points
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Bear's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:38 am

A Question, when do we draft replacements for Bahk, Preston Smith, Aaron Jones & Clark. I know they will adjust their salaries but currently the 2024 salary cap hit is brutal. Bahk $40.5K, Clark 27.5K, Smith 16.3K, Jones 17.1K.

Will they draft a DE Or OT early because of possibly losing 2 or 3 of these guys in 2024.

6 points
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HarryHodag's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:42 am

The need at tight end is apparent. They could use another wide receiver. They need a backup QB. That's on offense.

On defense they badly need another defensive tackle(or two), a safety (or two) and an edge linebacker.

That shows holes in a number of places on defense as well.

Priorities:
1)Tight end
2) Safety
3) Defensive tackle
4)Wide receiver
5)Edge

Depending on the outcome of the Rodgers trade wide receiver and edge could change positions.

0 points
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Leatherhead's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:01 pm

""The need at tight end is apparent""

I think we need a TE that can block his man and catch a pass or two. Other people think we need something.....more....but this is the difference between a need and a want.

Another WR and backup QB are easily obtainable. Zach Wilson will probably be part of the Rodgers trade.

We play about 2.5 defensive linemen per snap, and two of them are 1st round picks. I can't support picking a DL before Day 3, especially when we have guys like Slaton and Slayton .

At Safety, we return one starter, Savage. Amos has still not signed with anybody yet. We also return Gaines, Ford,Wiggins, Leavitt and Moore. There has been talk of moving Rasul Douglas to Safety if we draft another CB, but I just don't see Douglas as having the range and the tackling chops that I'd be looking for at that spot. I think Ford and Leavitt have the inside track as the backups. Tariq Carpenter is still listed on the roster as a S even though he's practicing more as an LB.

At Edge, reports are that Gary could well be back by the Opener, and along with Smith and Enagbare gives us our three man rotation at Edge.

I don't think we have holes in a number of places. I don't think TE is our biggest priority on offense, and I'd put it behind a starting WR and OT. We do need a starter at Safety.

-1 points
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golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:30 pm

Leather, I don't think there is any scenario where the Jets give up completely on Wilson and include him in the trade. Plus, what good is he to us sitting on the bench as he would surely be. He would be a backup in name only. Add in the fact that he makes $9.6 million this year, guaranteed. We don't have and wouldn't pay it. Our future backup QB won't be making much $$. The Jets surely have not given up completely on Wilson. Not to mention that for less than $4 million we could get Ruckert-TE, Mims-WR and Davis-S. They would have much more value than Wilson at positions of need.

At least there is a WR group. And an Edge group. A DB group. An O-line group. A LB group. A small D-line group.

There Is No TE Group. We have nothing. I don't see how you or anyone says this is not our NUMBER ONE NEED. According to some on this site we can just roll another O Lineman out there because all we need is a blocker anyway. That is just horseshit. Maybe if we had a couple really good TEs we could incorporate them into an offense where they have been non existent. The most immediate way to improve Loves chances to succeed is to have enough weapons so defenses can't just shut down the run to beat us. If Love succeeds, the team succeeds. How about we improve our offense to the point where our defense doesn't need to be on the field so much? Draft a TE first. We can get the same quality of Edge @ #45. And later.

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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:13 pm

Where does NYJ get almost $10M to cover that dead cap charge, again? I can’t see it.

0 points
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TheKanataThrilla's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:02 pm

I am interested in what the Packers plan on doing with the back-up QB position. If they do decide to draft a QB how long will they wait and how much of a project will he be? I like Jake Haener as a mid-round guy who will not threaten Love, but may be a solid developmental pick if Love doesn't pan out.

1 points
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:07 pm

After they announce the trade need goes DEFCON 5 at OL.

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mrtundra's picture

April 15, 2023 at 07:51 am

We can use a guy to play Slot receiver. Jaxon Ngiba-Smith could be that guy. He is not a fast guy but can work the middle of the field. Another guy we could put in as a Slot receiver would be TE Dalton Kincaid. The guy catches everything and as a TE, can work the middle of the field, as well. We definitely need an Edge, as Gary will not be back until mid season. Safety is also a need.

0 points
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PackyCheese500's picture

April 15, 2023 at 11:24 am

Here are my priorities:
1. TE (but I think we can address it in round 2). Tucker Kraft and Sam LaPorta (if he can improve his blocking) are two guys who I would be EXTREMELY happy with either. If Washington fell to the second I would not hesitate to trade up for him with pick 78

2. OLB. Preston Smith (who probably won't be on the team next year) is aging and Gary is coming off a big injury. That leaves Enagbare and Hollins. I think the Packers MUST take advantage of an exceptional EDGE class and draft one at #15. Lukas Van Ness or Myles Murphy. IMO we should use pick 78 to trade up if necessary.
If we miss out on one of the top guys in the class, day 2 guys I especially like are Felix Anudike Uzomah and Derick Hall.

3. WR. We need at least one rookie in the top 50 to go along with Watson and Doubs. Everyone has been saying that slot receiver is the largest need, but I disagree. I think we need another perimeter WR to fill Lazard's blocker role. Cedric Tillman of Tennessee is my favorite WR prospect, and I would absolutely take him in the second. Exceptional hands and a great deep threat.
Also, I personally believe that our solution at slot receiver may already be on the roster. Look up Bo Melton's Rutgers highlights and you will be impressed. He has exceptional body control and route-running, is able to separate, he can create YAC, and even makes contested catches for his size. He could be a steal of a WR4.

4. Safety. I must not view Rudy Ford as negatively as most people do...IMO he was the best safety on the team last year. I am fine with him starting. I only like a few safety prospects (Jordan Battle of Alabama), but I think that there are several quality ones on day 3, such as Jason Taylor II and Jordan Howden.
A 7th-round/UDFA sleeper I would look out for is Wisconsin's John Torchio. I have watched his highlights and I think he has the ability to be a MAJOR steal and turn into a great player because of his incredible ball skills and instincts. He is a good tackler too, and had like a 90+ coverage grade this past year per PFF. I also believe he was the highest-graded Safety in the big 10

5. DT. I must not view this as big of a need as others do. Personally I think the startin trio of Devonte Wyatt, Kenny Clark, and TJ Slaton is at least average, and Slaton and Wyatt will only get better and a healthy Clark will be better too. What we lack is depth. I would take WKU's Brodric Martin (my favorite DT prospect) in round 4.

0 points
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LambeauPlain's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:09 pm

11 first rounders on D since 2011...and 7 of them will be starting in 2023.

What has not been invested in? A top shelf Defensive Coordinator with a track record of success.

I hope O is on the menu during the first two days of the draft at TE, WR, OL and if Robinson is on the board at 15, draft the generational talent.

I expect this is not a popular opinion and Gutey would get raked over red hot coals, but Robinson is so talented he could man the slot as he is an excellent receiver. But the fear he would ignite in opposing DC's: Jet sweeps, screens, motions and even in the Pony with AJ.

I think he is more talented than Barry Sanders. Doubt he would ever exceed Barry's body of work but never know. Definitely owns a more diverse and prolific skillset.

-1 points
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Coldworld's picture

April 14, 2023 at 02:49 pm

If you are right about him being better than Sanders, then maybe. That is a very large if though. It’s also one done teams ahead of us will have to disagree with to in order for us to get a shot at him

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LambeauPlain's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:53 pm

I mention Barry because he was so highly rated in his draft. Many have Robinson as one of the top 3 talents in this draft. His size, speed, receiving, and blocking are all sublime. From the slot he would be bigger and faster than Cobb.

Yes, the entire draft is a game of "ifs". And I would be very surprised if Robinson fell to 15. But IF he did...

What would the O look like with both AJ and Robinson manning the slot and RB? Just noodling on the Illusion of Complexity possibilities. And then here comes AJD.

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PackyCheese500's picture

April 15, 2023 at 11:12 am

A big NO to taking a RB at #15. We need to focus on the strengths of the draft, which are DE/OLB and TE.

This is also assuming that Bijan will be a hit...which there is atill a significant chance he will be a bust or just good. Anything less than top 3 in the league would be a massive disappointment considering who we would be passing up and the needs we have at other possitions

Read this article:
https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2023/story/_/id/36098056/2023-nfl-draft-ru...

0 points
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Qoojo's picture

April 14, 2023 at 12:57 pm

Did you watch the offense last year? No irony involved. All things equal, I would prefer a lineman taken in 1st. Winning at the line makes everything else easier on offense and defense.

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SpikeHyzer's picture

April 14, 2023 at 01:08 pm

Doubt it.
Greatest areas of need are still OL and DL. Maybe followed by Safety.
THEN I'd put TE and EDGE.
All this talk about WR needs after last year's exceptional draft and the acquisition of Melton is just silly.
The room isn't empty. They don't need RBs.
It will probably still be heavy on D.

0 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:27 pm

OL is a bigger need right now than tight end?

2 points
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golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:51 pm

Sorry man but you have it backwards, O-line is a strength at this point. D-line is a need but nowhere near the top of the list. Everyone including people that do this for a living state that the two biggest needs for Green Bay right now are TE and Edge. Safety is a need, but there is no one rated high enough to take in the 1st round period. None will be picked until late 2nd, early 3rd. Thats where we will get ours without over drafting anyone.

You can't field a team with 4 WRs either. Last years draft got us one really good WR. one good WR, and one the jury is still out WR. We have a couple on the practice squad that have less experience that the 3 rookies last year. Do you think that's enough talent? The experts don't agree.

As far as D-line goes, if we get lucky and find a trade partner, we can add an extra 2nd and 4th round pick to get a D-tackle. Maybe Dexter or Pickens. Otherwise, later options would be Brodric Martin, Moro Ojomo, Dante Stills, or Cory Durden.

There is no TE room at this point. We have no TEs other than 2 on the practice squad. The top 5 TEs in this draft could start for 25 teams. We need 3 in this draft badly starting with our first pick.

1 points
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dobber's picture

April 15, 2023 at 10:43 am

I agree with a lot of what you say about WR/DL/TE. I think there's at least one S who will creep into round 1...I think we're demonizing guys with good film based on Combine numbers. I think OL is in the process of a retool over the next two years (Bakh will go, two others in contract years, Myers is up-and-down, a need for competition for the 7-10 slots). Not that I think it will happen, but I'm half-hoping someone will throw a contract offer at Nijman yet. I'd be tempted to have the second round pick.

I have a hunch that there's more turnover coming in the OL room than others expect.

I agree that TE is bare, but I'd argue that 3 picks is pretty heavy for a position where you're going to keep 4. I'd go one on day 1-2 for a guy who can play, a specialist on day 3 (blocker or developmental athletic type), and then a couple UDFAs to fight with Davis and Deguara for the 3rd and 4th slots.

1 points
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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

April 16, 2023 at 05:39 am

Nijman can sign an offer sheet up until April 22nd. He might pull a Lazard and not sign until June so he can skip the OTAs.

I also kind of hope someone with a 2nd round pick in the forties or low fifties (not to mention the thirties!) signs Nijman to an offer sheet. I don't know that I want to pay Nijman in 2024. At any rate, 2023 is a big year for him.

0 points
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PackyCheese500's picture

April 15, 2023 at 11:06 am

Brodric Martin of WKU is a sleeper who we should absolutely target

0 points
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BamaPackFan's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:40 pm

My nephew lives in Salt Lake and pulls for the Utes. I saw a couple of games last year. Knowing that we need a TE and a WR, we should draft Dalton Kincaid. He's the closest thing I've seen to Travis Kelce coming out in a while. A reliable target for Love that can help from anywhere in the formation.

2 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

April 14, 2023 at 06:45 pm

Can he block?

0 points
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 07:24 pm

Home wrecker!

0 points
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dobber's picture

April 15, 2023 at 10:30 am

I know Travis Kelce can....

0 points
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StarrtoRodgers's picture

April 14, 2023 at 03:59 pm

Hopefully the trade falls through and Rodgers is the backup to Jordan when the season starts and we see what Jordan does - which is most likely a flop by the end of 6 games. At that point, Rodgers can right the ship.

Hopefully Brain acts sensibly and signs Cobb and Lewis and Crosby.

Hopefully, Darnell Washington, JSN or Robinson are there at the 15th pick. - I would be happy with any of the 3.

Below are lists of each offensive skill position- Running back/full back, tight end, QB and WR - drafted in all rounds over the last 20 years, 2003 thru 2022.

I have also listed all offensive skill players drafted in the first round - there has been ZERO offensive skill players drafted in the 1st round since WR Javon Walker in 2002 - since Vince Lombardi's 1st year as GM in 1959.

If the player made a pro bowl, I placed that designation after the pick #.

In the history of the Packers, Aaron Rodgers made the most pro bowls with 10, followed by Forrest Gregg and Brett Favre, both with 9.

In 2022 3 Packers made the pro bowl, Jaire Alexander (1st round pick), Elgton Jenkins (2nd round pick) and Keisean Nixon (signed as undrafted free agent by Raiders in 2019).

Running Backs:

Player, Draft Year, Round, Pick #

1) Brandon Jackson 2007, 2, 63

2) DeShawn Wynn 2010, 7, 228

3) Quinn Johnson 2009, 5, 145

4) James Starks 2010, 6, 193

5) Alex Green 2011, 3, 96

6) Eddie Lacy 2013, 2, 61 (1 time Pro Bowler)

7) Aaron Ripkowski (FB) 2015, 6, 206

8) Jamaal Williams 2017, 4, 134

9) Aaron Jones 2017, 5, 182 (1 time Pro Bowler)

10) Devante Mays 2017, 7, 238

11) Dexter Williams 2019, 6, 194

12) AJ Dillon 2020, 2, 62

12 running backs

Last first round picks of running backs going back to 1959:

Darrell Thompson 1990 Minnesota 19th pick Brent Fullwood 1987 Auburn pick 4 (1 time pro bowler) Eddie Lee Ivery 1979 Georgia Tech Pick 15 Barty Smith 1974 Richmond Pick 12 John Brockington 1971 Ohio State 9th pick (3 time pro bowler), Jim Grabowski 1966 Illinois 9th pick, Donny Anderson 1965 Texas Tech, 7th pick (1 time pro bowler), Earl Gros FB 1962 LSU 14th pick, Tom Moore1960 Vanderbilt 5th pick

Barry Sanders was there for the picking in 1989, but Packers with their 1st round pick, 2nd overall selected offensive tackle Tony Mandarich.

Ahman Green (3rd round, 76th pick of Seattle) made the pro bowl 4 times as a halfback.

John Kuhn made the pro bowl 3 times as a fullback.

Dorsey Levens (5th round, 149 pick) pro bowl 1997 , Terdell Middleton (3rd round 80th pick) pro bowl 1978

William Henderson (3rd round, 66th pick) made the pro bowl 1 time as a full back.

Jim Taylor (2nd round, 15th pick, 1958) made the pro bowl 5 times as a fullback.

Paul Hornung (1st round, 1st overall pick 1957) made the pro bowl 2 times as a halfback.

Travis Jervey (5th round, 170th pick) , Packer Running back also made the pro bowl once in 1997 for his special teams play.

Tight Ends:

Player, Draft Year, Round, Pick #

1) Clark Harris, 2007, 7, 243

2) Jermichael Finley 2008, 3, 91

3) Andrew Quarless 2010, 5, 154

4) D. J. Williams 2011, 5, 141

5) Ryan Taylor 2011, 7, 218

6) Richard Rodgers 2014, 3, 98

7) Kennard Backman 2015, 6, 213

8) Jace Sternberger 2019, 3, 75

9) Josiah Deguara 2020, 3, 94

9 tight ends

Packer tight ends picked in the first round:

Bubba Franks 2000, 14th pick (3 pro bowls), Rich McGeorge 1970, 16th pick

Lombardi never picked a tight end in the first round from 1959 through his last year as GM in 1968.

Packer tight ends that have made the pro bowl beyond Bubba Franks:

March Chmura 1992, 6th round, 157th pick (3 pro bowls)

Keith Jackson 1988 1st round 13th pick (1 pro bowl with Packers - 4 other times with Eagles)

Ron Kramer 1957 1st round, 4th pick (

Quarterbacks:

Player, Draft Year, Round, Pick #

1)Aaron Rodgers 2005, 1, 24 (10 Pro Bowls)

2) Ingle Martin 2006, 5, 148

3) Brian Brohm, 2008, 2, 56

4) Matt Flynn, 2008, 7, 209

5) Brett Hundley, 2015, 5, 147

6) Jordan Love, 2020, 1, 26

6 Quarterbacks.

Packers QBs picked in the 1st round:

Rich Campbell 1981 6th pick, Jerry Tagge 1972 11th pick (Green Bay West High School), Don Horn 1967 25th pick, and Randy Duncan 1959 1st overall pick out of Iowa by Lombardi.

Packer QBs that have made the pro bowl:

Rodgers 10 times, Favre 9 times, Starr 4 times, Majkowski 1 time.

Based on the Packers 20 year history the odds of the Packers finding a 2 or more time Pro Bowl Receiver beneath round 1 is 2 out of 28 or 7.1%

And based on the same 20 year history, the probability of the Packers finding an EVEN one time Pro Bowl Receiver below round 2 is ZERO.

The Packers drafted 28 receivers between 2003 and 2022, only 2 of the 28 selected made multiple pro bowls and both of those were selected in the 2nd round, Jennings (2 pro bowls) and Davante (6 pro bowls) and Davante had much better catch %'s with Aaron throwing to him than Derek Carr. Jordy also made 1 pro bowl and Cobb 1 pro bowl. Aaron's made all Packer receivers look better.

The other 24 Receivers disappeared and you mostly have long forgotten them or not ever heard of them after draft day:

The Packers have drafted 28 WRs over the last 20 years:
Yr, rnd, pick

1) Carl Ford 2003, 7, 255
2) DeAndrews Rubin 2003, 7, 256
3) Craig Bragg 2005, 6, 195
4) Terrence Murphy 2005, 2, 58
5) Greg Jennings 2006, 2, 52 (2 pro bowls)
6) Cory Rodgers 2006, 4, 194
7) Will Blackmon WR/CB 2006, 4, 115
8) James Jones 2007, 3, 78
9) David Clowney 2007, 5, 157
10) Jordy Nelson 2008, 2, 36 (1 pro bowl)
11) Brett Swain 2008, 7, 217
12) Randall Cobb 2011, 2, 64 (1 pro bowl)
13) Charles Johnson 2013, 7, 2016
14 Kevin Dorsey 2013, 7, 224
15) Davante Adams 2014, 2, 53 (6 pro bowls, 5 of those with the Packers)
16) Jared Abbbrederis 2014, 5, 176
17) Jeff Janis 2014, 7, 236
18) Ty Montgomery 2015, 3, 94
19) Trevor Davis 2016, 5, 165
20) DeAngelo Yancy 2017, 5, 175
21) Malachi Dupre 2017, 7, 247
22) J'Mon Moore 2018, 4, 133
23) Marquez Valdes-Scantling 2018, 5, 174
24) Equanimeous St. Brown 2018, 6, 207
25) Amari Rodgers 2021, 3, 85
26) Christian Watson 2022, 2, 34
27) Romeo Doubs 2022, 4, 132

28) Samori Toure 2022, 7, 258

Packer receivers drafted before 2003 that made the pro bowl:

James Lofton (1978, 1st round 6th pick) - 7 pro bowls w Packers and 1 with Bills

Sterling Sharpe (1984, 1st round, 7th pick) - 5 pro bowls

Donald Driver (1999, 7th round, 213th pick) - 3 pro bowls

Carroll Dale (1960, 8th round, 86th pick) - 3 pro bowls

Boyd Dowler (1959, 3rd round, 25th pick) - 2 pro bowls

John Jefferson (1978, 1st round, 14th pick) - 1 pro bowl w Packers and 3 with San Diego

Roell Preston (1995, 5th round, 145th pick) - 1 pro bowl for special teams

Javon Walker (2002, 1st round, 20th pick) - 1 pro bowl

Steve Odom (1974, 5th round, 116th pick) - 1 pro bowl for special teams

Antonio Freeman (1995, 3rd round, 90th pick) - 1 pro bowl

Bob Jeter CB and WR (1960, 2nd round, 17th pick) - 2 pro bowls for cornerback play

-6 points
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golfpacker1's picture

April 14, 2023 at 10:56 pm

And the hits just keep on coming. Another mega post I skipped over. Longest posts that never say anything new, but at least we got to see Rodgers stats for the 1000th time.

2 points
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greengold's picture

April 14, 2023 at 11:01 pm

Unreadable.

1 points
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PackyCheese500's picture

April 15, 2023 at 11:05 am

The defense was arguably worse in 2022 than in 2021. Do you really think that, in a strong defensive draft class, Gutey will pass up on a top DE/OLB prospect at #15? I sure hope not.

0 points
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WD's picture

April 17, 2023 at 12:54 pm

I am not going to quibble about whether we draft offense or defense in the first round.. It is all about where the draft takes you. We did take 3 young talented WRs last year as well as three in the OL. So the only critical need on offense is TE. The draft is very deep with them luckily for us. Frankly, I see the defense as more problematic. We were 27th in sacks and couldn't stop the run. That tells you all you need to know.. We need DL/ Edge/ and TE. It sounds good to say you need a safety or an OL or a WR but this draft is very weak in those positions. You have to play the hand you are dealt.

0 points
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